The epidemic will not bring down Shanghai Port and Ningbo Zhoushan Port

Recently, the epidemic prevention and control in Shanghai has been in a severe period, and the infection rate has continued to rise. Shanghai Port cannot survive alone, and is making every effort to coordinate resources from all parties to keep the port open. On the other hand, many truck drivers were diagnosed in Ningbo, and the local government immediately introduced a policy of one nucleic acid per day for truck drivers to further tighten the prevention and control policy. As the two largest ports in the world, Shanghai Port will complete a container throughput of 47.3 million TEU in 2021, and Ningbo Zhoushan Port will complete a cargo throughput of 31.08 million TEU. These two ports account for nearly 40% of the national port container throughput. In this regard, the normal operation of the two ports is related to the smooth global supply chain, and the sensitive market remains highly concerned about this.

Recently, a screenshot of densely crowded ships in the waters near Shanghai circulated on the Internet. The screenshot was accompanied by a caption saying, "Hundreds of ocean-going freighters have been stranded in the open seas of Shanghai, and the supply chain is broken here."

The impact of this round of Shanghai epidemic on international shipping has also aroused high public attention.

On April 2, SIPG also responded to the news of "severe congestion in Shanghai Port": "We have noticed that some media have published false reports on the serious congestion in Shanghai Port, which mentioned that 'Shanghai's port is delayed. The situation is getting more and more serious', 'the number of ships waiting to be loaded and unloaded in Shanghai port has soared to more than 300 this week' and other unverified remarks and pictures, according to the internal data monitoring of Shanghai port, since February, Shanghai port terminal production and operation As usual, there is no congestion of container ships." SIPG further stated that there is absolutely no "congestion comparable to the port congestion in West America" ​​in Shanghai Port. The number of waiting ships is in single digits, and the average number of waiting days is normal.

Previously, it was believed that due to the severe epidemic situation in Shanghai, the transportation of import and export goods was also affected, and some ships calling at Shanghai Port may be diverted to Ningbo Zhoushan Port or Nanjing Port.

On April 6, the "Daily Economic News" reporter asked the relevant person in charge of Ningbo Port (601018.SH) to verify the above situation. The person in charge responded: "The company is now doing a good job of epidemic prevention and control in accordance with the requirements of the superior and the actual situation of the enterprise to ensure the continuous, stable and healthy development of port production. As for the ships that previously berthed at Shanghai Port, they will be moved to Ningbo Zhoushan Port. The situation is not obvious at the moment and we are monitoring it.”

On the same day, a person in charge of a shipping agency in charge of Ningbo also told reporters that from what he knew, Shanghai's port calls are relatively normal, and there has not been a large number of changes to Ningbo port.

At the same time, Ningbo Zhoushan Port had to face the problem of epidemic spillover. From April 4th to 5th, 6 of the 7 cases found in Ningbo City were road freight-related drivers and express service area staff, and one of them was in Beilun District; as a model of anti-epidemic, Ningbo Zhoushan The port quickly made a decision to close some container shipping bases in Beilun District, and organized truck drivers to conduct nucleic acid tests every 24 hours. For example, Ningbo Meidong Container Terminal Co., Ltd. issued a notice on April 3 that truck drivers entering the port area. A free nucleic acid test needs to be completed immediately before entering the port area; at the same time, for foreign vehicles, Ningbo City requires drivers to actively cooperate with nucleic acid testing and antigen testing at the high-speed bayonet. In addition, Ningbo has implemented closed management of staff in the city's expressway service areas, strictly implemented daily nucleic acid testing measures, and suspended refueling operations.

At present, Ningbo Zhoushan Port is still in normal operation as a whole, and the warehouses that were temporarily closed due to the detection of tight connections will also be unsealed from tomorrow. In addition to Ningbo City, two freight drivers in Shaoxing City were also found to be infected with the new crown. The freight drivers and passengers outside the city are required to perform nucleic acid tests every two days on the basis of implementing nucleic acid tests every two days, and each time they return to Shaoxing Expressway.

The port circle (ID: gangkouquan) believes that if the impact of the epidemic expands, the impact of the collection and distribution problem continues to expand, and the ports in the Yangtze River Delta region cannot handle the problem of transportation route configuration, which will be a heavy blow to the global supply chain. of. On the premise of "preventing imports from outside and preventing exports from inside", Shanghai should increase the capacity of waterway barges as soon as possible to transfer the pressure of road collection and distribution, while Ningbo Zhoushan Port must learn lessons and give priority to preventing the spread of the epidemic. The two ports will not be dragged down as the outside world fears, but for a period of time in the future, whether it is the cargo owner, the shipping company, or the port, it will be under the pressure of repeated epidemics.

The function of the bill of lading

The bill of lading is one of the most important documents in the shipping and freight process. It is a legal document that provides a record of the transport of goods from one place to another and ensures a convenient and safe logistics process. Bills of lading can be issued by

  • Shipping agent
  • Carrier or
  • Logistics company to shipper

The bill of lading also has three main functions:

1. Proof of the contract of carriage
A bill of lading is evidence of a contract of carriage between the "carrier" and the "shipper or owner" for the purpose of carrying the goods (not to be confused with a contract of sale between the buyer and the seller).

2. It acts as a receipt
When the carrier issues the bill of lading to the shipper, it confirms that the goods have been loaded onto the transport vessel. The shipper usually issues several original bills of lading which can be passed on to different parties along the way, essentially taking control of the cargo.

3. Ownership as a commodity (representing ownership)
The bill of lading usually includes details of the consignee (buyer/consignee) to which the carrier ships the goods. However, title does not pass until the bill of lading is passed on to the receiver. The shipper may forward a copy of the bill of lading to the consignee as proof of transport, but the person holding the original bill of lading retains title to the goods. Bills of lading are usually delivered to the consignee only after full payment.

The information listed on the bill of lading can include:

  • Shipper Details
  • Recipient (Consignee) Details
  • Carrier details and signature to confirm receipt
  • Loading date
  • Port of loading
  • Destination port
  • Details of the shipment
  • Shipping terms and conditions
  • Any special shipping requirements (for example, if the cargo is dangerous)

Shipping terms and conditions are especially important because they detail who is responsible for the goods at what stage, and who is responsible for paying the freight (Incoterm for the goods). Note that the bill of lading may not detail all the terms and conditions of carriage, but at least they should be mentioned.

So among these three functions, which is the most important function of the bill of lading..??

In the container business, the following are the most common types/methods of issuing bills of lading:

  • Direct bill of lading
  • Order bill of lading
  • Bill of Lading

All of the above types of bills of lading satisfy Functions 1 and 2 – Evidence of Contract of Carriage and Goods Receipt, but only the Order Bill of Lading satisfies Function 3 – Document of Title..

Why the other two types do not satisfy function 3..?? Let me explain..

1) When a bill of lading is issued in original form to the "appointed" consignee, it is called a "direct bill of lading", and a direct bill of lading is a non-negotiable and non-negotiable document. The bill of lading stationery will not have the words Straight Bill of Lading, but may have Ocean Bill of Lading or Port to Port Bill of Lading written at the top.

Release of goods at destination can only be made to the named consignee and only after surrender of at least one original issued bill of lading. This release condition is governed by the COGSA (Carriage of Goods by Sea Act) of the relevant country and jurisdiction. .
A direct bill of lading does not satisfy function 3 (document of title) because the document is neither transferable nor transferable.

2) When the bill of lading is issued to the "designated" consignee but without any original and using sea waybill or waybill stationery, it may be regarded as a "sea waybill".. this bill of lading is also a non-negotiable & non-negotiable document..
Since the sea waybill is not issued the original, it does not need to be returned.
The ocean bill of lading does not satisfy function 3 (document of title) because the document is neither negotiable nor negotiable.

Given below are ready-made estimators as to which type of bill of lading fulfills which role (in the context of container shipping).

 

So what is the most important function of the bill of lading? ?

The answer is: no one feature is more important than the other, because each feature has its own purpose and needs.

freight volume will continue to remain high

Due to the prevalence of port congestion and box shortages in Europe and the United States, freight volumes on the European and American routes will remain high.

Industry insiders predict that shipments from Asia to Europe will continue into the third quarter, and delays in US and European ports will continue to be the main bottleneck in the supply chain.

The National Retail Federation (hereinafter referred to as NRF, The National Retail Federation) predicts that this year's retail spending and consumer demand may further soar, the increase may be as high as 8.2%. According to NRF data, due to the substantial increase in demand, container throughput will increase by 23% in the first half of the year.

Consultant Jon Monroe pointed out, “Given that many importers are struggling with low inventories, replenishing inventory in order to meet their volume may be the key driving force for this year’s growth. Therefore, the question that everyone needs to face is how to deal with another possible occurrence. A turbulent year?"

 

NRF predicts that freight volume will continue to remain high; Clarkson: trade volume will exceed 2019

 

 

Monroe said that most cargo owners (BCO) now intend to end contract negotiations and try to plan for expected market fluctuations, which may mean that contract requirements have not been met, soaring freight rates and shipping schedule reliability have been put on hold again.

Monroe made some suggestions for companies facing supply chain disruptions this year, including finding alternative delivery ports for imported goods other than Los Angeles and Long Beach, while optimizing warehouse efficiency while free time is reduced.

According to the table below, it is currently estimated that the "new normal" delivery time for goods arriving on the West Coast of the United States is currently expected plus 4 to 5 weeks.

 

NRF predicts that freight volume will continue to remain high; Clarkson: trade volume will exceed 2019
The estimated delivery time (cargo is delivered via DC) is an additional 4 weeks for LA-LB port (an additional week this year)

The current situation of European cargo owners is similar to that of the United States. Port congestion is still the main problem, and the shortage of containers has exacerbated these difficulties. Especially in the United Kingdom, due to the problem of the space for storing empty containers, there has been a significant increase in delays in container delivery. Brexit has also had a certain impact.

According to data from Container xChange, “the trade interruption and continued congestion after Brexit are causing serious container accumulation in British ports.” said Dr. Johannes Schlingmeier, CEO of xChange, when the CAx index exceeds 0.5, it indicates that more containers are imported than exported. The index "increased significantly last year, with 40-foot containers rising from 0.71 to 0.86, and 20-foot containers rising from an average of 0.72 to 0.85."

 

NRF predicts that freight volume will continue to remain high; Clarkson: trade volume will exceed 2019

 

 

Schlingmeier said, “The British ports are full of empty containers. If this problem becomes too serious, you may see additional charges for new (arriving) containers next.”

Container xChange stated that the link between Brexit and CAx is that as the United Kingdom leaves the European Union, British ports (mainly the Port of Felixstowe, but also the ports of Liverpool and Southampton) are facing severe congestion. British companies have become a problem, and some shipping companies have increased surcharges.

"To make matters worse, some shipping companies are currently unloading at EU ports such as Hamburg, Rotterdam and Antwerp to avoid congestion at British ports. As a result, the CAx values ​​of these ports have increased in the past few weeks," Schlingmeier explained. And added a reminder that CAx will further monitor the number of containers entering and leaving the port. Four or five months ago, shipping companies waited for return goods at European ports for two months, and now they are "carrying back to Asia with empty containers full."

Clarkson predicts that the volume of seaborne trade this year will exceed the level of 2019

Clarkson Research Services acknowledged that major uncertainties still exist, but it is expected that the global seaborne trade for the whole year of 2021 is not only expected to return to the level of 2019, but also expected to be this level.

Clarkson predicts that this year's seaborne trade volume will increase by 4.2% to 12 billion tons, which is 0.5% higher than the level in 2019. Clarkson estimated in a recent weekly report that in 2020, global seaborne trade will fall -3.6% for the whole year to 11.5 billion tons. In the first few weeks of 2021, most non-tank shipping industries will show high utilization rates and high rates.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that the global economy will grow by 5.5% this year. Following a 3.5% drop last year, the economy in 2021 will grow by 1.8% over 2019. Looking at emerging economies and developed economies separately, only emerging economies will return to the level of 2019 this year. The IMF expects that emerging economies will grow by 6.3% and will fall by 2.4% in 2020. On the other hand, advanced economies are expected to grow by 4.3%, which is lower than the 4.9% decline in 2020.

A report from the Baltic International Chamber of Shipping (BIMCO) at the end of last month pointed out that the recovery in 2021 will not bring good news to everyone. The exact speed of the recovery will depend on the development of the epidemic and changes in travel restrictions and other containment measures.

Will the freight rate go up?

The prosperous situation of the container shipping market will continue for a longer period of time. The profit of the shipping company in the first quarter of this year is expected to increase to several times that of the fourth quarter of last year, and the profit in the second quarter will be equal to or higher than that of the first quarter.

 

After the Spring Festival, the congestion problem of European and American ports has not been relieved as expected. Instead, it has spread everywhere. Major international ports such as Los Angeles, Oakland, Rotterdam, Hamburg, Felice Du, Liverpool, and Le Havre continued to be congested. Singapore is not immune. Although the current shortage of containers has improved, it is estimated that as the volume begins to increase at the end of March, it will return to the original situation in April.

 

Jeremy Nixon, CEO of ONE, pointed out that Asian terminals currently operate 24 hours a day, while berths on the west coast of the United States work 112 hours a week, container terminals work 88-90 hours a week, and land operations are limited to daytime. Therefore, the current situation of the trans-Pacific route is unlikely to improve in the short term.

 

On the whole, the off-season of the shipping market after the Spring Festival this year is not weak. The number of days for seasonal correction of freight rates before and after New Year's Eve is between 50 and 64 days. The rate of freight rate decline is between 17% and 27%. After the festival, only 3.8% is revised, which is still obvious. Less than historical convention.

 

Looking forward to the market outlook, analysis institutions are optimistic about the market performance this year. Drewry predicts that the global container shipping demand growth rate will reach 10.9% in 2021, which is much higher than the 4.5% growth rate of supply.

 

The Danish shipping consulting agency Sea-Intelligence also estimates that the surge in freight rates may continue until the spring of 2022, and the freight rates for the US line may increase by another 25%.

 

Sea-Intelligence's research report pointed out that the current US retail industry inventory is still at a historical low, and the relative inventory level has been the lowest in 28 years. This is undoubtedly good news for the shipping company. As long as the sales situation is normal, the US retail industry needs to be in Continue to replenish inventory in the next few months.

 

Executives of CH Robinson, the world's leading third-party logistics service provider, pointed out that global road, sea and air cargo congestion is likely to continue into next year and continue to increase transportation costs.

 

Although there is still room for increase in freight rates, the various operating costs of container shipping companies are also increasing significantly. Port congestion has reduced ship turnover by 20% to 30%, and container ship rents have soared, which has doubled in the past year. In addition, the price of marine fuel oil has increased by 60% since November last year, and the difficulty in crew dispatch caused by the epidemic has also increased labor costs by about 20%.

 

Consolidation company believes that starting from May this year, the long-term freight rate of the western US route has started from US$3,000, which is several times higher than that of last year’s US$1,400. Therefore, as long as the freight rates of the European and Southeast Asian routes are stable, the company’s profit in the second quarter may be The first quarter is equivalent. If it is a consolidator that starts to substantially increase US flights in mid-March, there is still a chance that the second quarter will make more profits than the first quarter.

Container freight rates trends

The spot freight rates for containers from Asia to Europe and from Asia to the United States fell further from record highs last week. However, it is expected to remain high for a period of time.

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

There has been a sharp drop during the Chinese Lunar New Year holiday, but the rate is expected to remain high

Jeremy Nixon, CEO of Japanese liner company Ocean Network Express (ONE), believes that the freight market will not stabilize before the middle of this year.

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

The Lowe's Daily said that in the absence of a sharp decline in traditional freight volumes after the Chinese New Year, the spot freight rates for Asia-Europe and Trans-Pacific trade are still at historical highs; the spot exchange rate flexibility during the Spring Festival shows that the factors that support price increases are still Need to be alleviated. Cargo backlogs, port congestion, equipment shortages and continued high throughput mean shippers are still being charged premiums on the main trade routes.

The Drewry Composite Index shows that although it has fallen 2.2% in the past week, it is still 232.6% higher than a year ago. The year-to-date WCI average composite index assessed by Drewry is US$5,231 per 40-foot container, which is US$3539 higher than the five-year average of US$1,692 per 40-foot container.

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

The Drewry Composite Container Index fell 2.2% (US$117) to US$5121.04 per 40-foot container.

The freight from Shanghai to Rotterdam dropped by US$286, reaching US$8188/FEU;

The freight from Shanghai to Los Angeles dropped by 130 USD, reaching 4,261 USD/FEU;

The freight rate of the 40-foot container from Shanghai to Genoa fell by US$106 to US$8,505;

The freight from Shanghai to New York rose by 23 dollars to reach 6,651 dollars/FEU.

Drewry expects rates to stabilize relatively this week.

The Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) released by the Ningbo Shipping Exchange closed at 2152.91 points, down 4.1% from 2245.32 points last week. Among the 21 routes, the freight index of 5 routes increased, and the freight index of 16 routes decreased. Among the major ports along the "Maritime Silk Road", the freight index of 17 ports fell.

The freight rate of the European-German route dropped as a whole, 3.9% lower than the previous week's European route; the eastern route dropped 4.2%; and the western route dropped 4.9%. While the North American route remained high, the US East route rose 2.5% from last week; the US West route rose 0.2% from last week.

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

European-German route: In view of the fact that the transportation demand is still recovering after the holiday, the goods hoarded before the holiday have basically been shipped, and the booking price of the European-German route has dropped overall. According to Freightos' recent Baltic Index (FBX), the price of 40-foot containers from Asia to Northern Europe fell 4% a week to US$8004; according to FBX data, in the Far East to Europe transaction, the spot freight rate was as high as US$8,306. /FEU, but fell by US$432 over the weekend to US$7,874/FEU (daily index).

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

But for Mediterranean ports , the average price dropped by only US$37 last week to US$7,926 per 40 feet.

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high



Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

Moreover, many shippers are still obliged to pay additional fees to ensure the availability of containers, and for British ports, a "port fee" of US$2,000 is usually added. A year ago, the FBX index showed that the freight rates per 40 feet in the Nordic and Mediterranean regions were US$1,533 and US$2,130 respectively.

Lory Cheung, an overseas marketing expert at China-based MRF International Forwarding, said that shipping companies must “do everything they can to seize every opportunity” because the shipping market will eventually return to normal. He pointed out: "At present, carriers seem to be more willing to sign long-term contracts with BCO rather than freight forwarders," which shows that shipping companies are working hard to lock the contract price at the highest possible level to avoid the impact of spot market fluctuations.

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

In fact, the high inflation rate in current transactions is forcing shippers to cancel orders for low-value products. A British non-vessel carrier (NVOCC) stated that he has noticed that a garden furniture importer’s bookings from China have dropped by a third this year.

North American routes: The market's freight volume has recovered faster than in previous years, and the route's loading rate remains high. According to the Freeghtos Baltic Index, since the end of February, freight rates outside of Asia have decreased, and the spot freight rate for Pacific Eastbound transactions has dropped from a high of US$4922/FEU on February 26 to US$4197 on March 4. /FEU. However, by March 5, the spot freight rate soared again to US$4,709/FEU. At the same time, in the Trans-Pacific region, the West Coast portion of FBX in the United States fell 11% last week to $4,369 per 40 feet. Freightos expects this decline to be temporary, given the strong demand for trade.

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

The FBX index for US East Coast ports fell 3% to $5659/FEU.

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

Freightos research director Judah Levine said: "Although the rates are falling, they may remain very high for a period of time." "As the US retail inventory level is still very low, it may take until the end of this year to restore normal inventory."

According to the latest data from the signal platform of the Port of Los Angeles, the volume of inbound containers this week reached 175,300 TEU, an increase of 505.56% over the same period last year. There are 17 container ships berthing at anchorages, and 10 container ships waiting to be anchored outside the port, with an average waiting time of 7.5 days.

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

Container freight rates have fallen sharply for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic, but are expected to remain high

Last week, even if the freight rates of the two major trade routes from China to the United States and Europe fell, at least 35 to 40 ships were anchored on the west coast of the United States due to congestion in US ports continuing to spread to ports outside North America. More than twenty container ships waited for two weeks to berth. These container ships were loaded with exercise bikes, electronics and other highly sought-after imported goods. Los Angeles Port Director Gene Seroka said at a recent board meeting: "The backlog is expected to continue until midsummer."

Congestion in Southern California, dozens of container ships waiting to berth

Jon Monroe of Worldwide Logistics said that the traffic congestion in the Los Angeles/Long Beach area was mainly caused by the layoff of more than 700 skilled dock workers due to Covid-19 infection. "Due to the complexity of the operating models of multiple terminals in Southern California ports, this situation is more difficult to resolve quickly. Of course, in addition to this, 45% to 50% of imported goods in the United States are transported through the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach." He added , The shipping terminal has insufficient storage space, the truck queue at the terminal is also very long, and the chassis continues to be short.

At the same time, Jon Monroe of Jon Monroe Consulting in Washington State suggested that there is evidence that the strong momentum of trade may be maintained until the Chinese New Year in 2022.

The market is unprecedentedly strong, which is bad news for shippers who are struggling to sign new annual contracts from Asia to the United States. "Many people I have spoken to have stated that this will be a fast negotiation," Jon Monroe said. "The question this year is more about'how to ship the product?' rather than'how much is the cost?'"

At present, there is a 40% unbalanced gap in containers in North America. This means that for every 10 containers that arrive, only 4 return, and 6 remain at the arrival port. The average monthly trade between China and the United States is 900,000 TEU, and there is indeed a huge absolute imbalance in containers. In addition, according to the data of consulting company Descartes Datamyne, the current shipment volume is at the highest level in history. In the first quarter of this year, sales increased by 23.3% over the same period last year.

The container shipping crisis has affected various business areas in different ways. For example, the transportation of high-value commodities such as mechanical engineering products, electronic products and computer equipment will be less affected. But for other types of goods, especially the textile industry in Asia, the increase in transportation costs has brought more serious consequences. Exporters claim that the sharp increase in freight rates has led to the closure of many low-profit textile mills. Delays and container shortages are pushing up freight rates. In Asia, delivery delays can be up to several weeks, forcing many companies to negotiate price increases with buyers.

Congestion in West America worsens!

Aerial photography of Southern California full of container ships! Terminal operators expect to get rid of the dilemma by the end of spring

Recently, a cold wave swept the United States and quickly plunged the southern state of Texas into disaster. In this unprecedented cold wave, more than 4 million people in the United States have suffered power outages, countless power plants have been destroyed, and electricity and natural gas prices have skyrocketed. ; At present, the price of electricity in Texas has increased by more than 100 times, up to 9,000 US dollars per megawatt, and the price of natural gas has skyrocketed by more than 160 times, reaching US$500, compared with only US$3 in the past; it is jaw-dropping.

Except for Texas, which is in a serious disaster, other states in the United States are not doing well. There are about 168 million people in the United States under the threat of this cold wave. Numerous airports have been suspended. According to data from the flight monitoring website "flightaware", Dallas and Houston , Austin area airports have cancelled more than 2,000 inbound and outbound flights on the 15th . Coupled with the new crown pneumonia crisis that is still raging across the United States, the United States is really miserable.

In terms of shipping, the Southern California anchorage is full of container ships, and the congestion continues to worsen ! The latest video released by the U.S. Coast Guard provides intuitive evidence of the congestion levels in Los Angeles and the Port of Long Beach. From the picture, a large number of container ships are moored at the anchorage in San Pedro Bay, California.

 

Congestion in West America worsens!  Aerial photography of Southern California full of container ships!  Terminal operators expect to get rid of the dilemma by the end of spring
U.S. Coast Guard aerial scene

Data shows that the historic container ship congestion in California ports has not really eased. There are currently 63 container ships in Los Angeles and Long Beach, and 32 container ships are waiting for berths at anchorages. (On February 1st, the highest record of 40 container ships anchored at anchorage)

The Port of Los Angeles announced the number of berth days for a particular container ship through its Signal platform last week. Data shows that some ships stay at anchorage and wait for almost as long as they sail across the Pacific Ocean . For example, as of last Thursday, the 6332TEU container ship "Ever Envoy" has been parked for 11 days. As of Tuesday, the 9,400TEU "MSC Romane" has been parked for 12 days. And the three container ships of 11356TEU "CMA CGM Andromeda", 8452 TEU "Ever Liven" and 4888TEU "NYK Nebula" also berthed for 11 days as of last week.

 

Congestion in West America worsens!  Aerial photography of Southern California full of container ships!  Terminal operators expect to get rid of the dilemma by the end of spring

 

 

As of the end of 2020, the number of container ships at anchor has increased to 30; since then, it has remained between 20 and 40. At the same time, the number of vessels at berths in Los Angeles and Long Beach remained at around 20 and 30. Kip Louttit, executive director of the Southern California Shipping Exchange, said: "We seem to have adapted to the new normal of about 30 container ships waiting in line every day. I don't know if this situation will continue."

As of Tuesday, the average time for ships docking in Los Angeles was 8 days , up from 7.3 days at the beginning of last week. From the information on the waiting time of ships provided by the platform from January 27th, the waiting time for ships to berth has been maintained for about one week, and the data for the last two periods has been extended to 8 days.

 

Congestion in West America worsens!  Aerial photography of Southern California full of container ships!  Terminal operators expect to get rid of the dilemma by the end of spring

 

 

  The latest data from the Signal platform: 20 ships at anchor, with an average anchoring time of 8.0 days. There are 14 ships waiting to be pre-anchored.

 

Congestion in West America worsens!  Aerial photography of Southern California full of container ships!  Terminal operators expect to get rid of the dilemma by the end of spring

 

 

What caused the blockage? The extended berthing time of ships forced some shipping companies to cancel multiple voyages this month. This is not due to lack of cargo demand, but due to lack of available vessels to handle these services. Delays on land have also caused congestion at sea: extremely high inbound volumes and complex logistics inside and outside the port have caused delays on land. One of the challenges facing the port is the new crown virus infection of dockers and a serious shortage of labor.

Despite productivity gains last month, terminal operators at the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach said the ports may have to wait until the end of spring to get rid of the ship backlog and congestion that have plagued them in the past six months . The near-record number of containers will continue into the spring of this year, but the backlog of ships at the port and the fully loaded inbound containers at the terminal should disappear sometime between April and June.

The managers of SSA Marine, Yusen Terminals and Fenix ​​Marine stated that in order to alleviate the congestion in the port, two projects to be developed are necessary. First, the COVID-19 vaccine must be widely distributed among dock workers to alleviate the recent labor shortage. During the Lunar New Year holiday this month, container traffic has declined moderately, which should also enable shipping terminals to remove the backlog of fully loaded imported containers from their facilities.

"The terminals are full and there is no place to put these containers. We deliver 35% less cargo (to truck drivers) than usual," said Ed Dannick, president of SSA Containers.

 

Congestion in West America worsens!  Aerial photography of Southern California full of container ships!  Terminal operators expect to get rid of the dilemma by the end of spring

 

 

According to data from the HarborTrucking Association, the average truck stay at the terminal in January improved from 93 minutes in December to 88 minutes, but it was still much higher than the record low of 58 minutes in June. Imports peaked during the recovery period after the first wave of COVID-19 lockdown.

The backlog of ships in Long Beach, Los Angeles, is increasing unabated. According to statistics from the Marine Exchange of Southern California, there are currently 63 container ships in the Port of Long Beach in Los Angeles, of which 32 are at anchor waiting for berths and 31 are at berths.

 

Congestion in West America worsens!  Aerial photography of Southern California full of container ships!  Terminal operators expect to get rid of the dilemma by the end of spring

 

 

The latest data released by the Pacific Merchant Shipping Association (PMSA) shows that in December last year, the average container stay time at the 12 terminals of the Port of Long Beach in Los Angeles was 4.99 days. This is twice the average length of stay (approximately 2.5 days) recorded by PMSA in the first half of 2020.

“The longer the container stays at the terminal, the more serious the congestion will be. When the container piles up like a mountain, the congestion creates additional and inefficient handling requirements,” said PMSA’s government affairs manager jessicaalvarenga.

The new crown epidemic hits labor in the port

According to the Pacific Maritime Association (PMA), the West Coast port employers' Association and the International Terminal and Warehouse Union (ILWU), the new crown epidemic has severely affected the labor force along the Los Angeles-Long Beach Port. As of January 17, The International Terminal and Warehouse Union (ILWU) reported that 694 of its members tested positive. By January 25, this number jumped to 803.

PMA stated that there is a particular shortage of skilled equipment operators, who need to remove containers from trucks, and then move them into and out of the container yard, which is critical to the operation of the terminal. As a result, the joint committee of PMA and ILWU, which is responsible for allocating workers to the docks on a daily basis, cut the allocation share.

"It boils down to the labor issue at the terminal," said Scott Weiss, vice president of business development at Port Logistics Group, which has a large number of truck and warehouse operations throughout Southern California. "Containers still have bottlenecks in and out of the terminal."

The latest information released by the Signal platform of the Port of Los Angeles shows that due to the new crown epidemic, the productivity of coastal labor has decreased, which has caused ship delays and the average delay of port facilities is 8.0 days .

These ports are working with trans-Pacific shipping companies to reduce Southern California's load until the volume returns to normal. Gene Seroka, executive director of the Port of Los Angeles, said that he is working with shipping companies and terminal operators to "measure" imports until the port catches up. Hapag-Lloyd (Hapag-Lloyd) has announced the opening of a structured route to Southern California in February, and CMA CGM will remove Los Angeles from the trans-Pacific route and use Oakland as the first port of call from Asia. , Followed by Seattle-Tacoma.

 

Congestion in West America worsens!  Aerial photography of Southern California full of container ships!  Terminal operators expect to get rid of the dilemma by the end of spring

 

 

The terminal operator said that when workers throughout the supply chain are vaccinated and imports drop, the congestion in Long Beach, Los Angeles, will disappear.

Spring recovery?

Alan McCorkle, President and Chief Executive Officer of Yusen Terminals in Los Angeles, said that in the past six months, the container throughput of these terminals was close to record levels, but there was no overall congestion. This fact shows that if the peak season does not last for six consecutive months, they will have Ability to handle peak season cargo volume. He expects to return to normal in May or June.

Scott Schoenfeld, general manager of Fenix ​​Marine Services in Los Angeles, said that Fenix ​​is ​​showing signs of improvement, so he is optimistic that congestion may be eased as early as April . The density of containers in the yard is not as high as late last year, and more truck drivers are able to transport containers every day.

However, container traffic is still rising, and as overloaded ships continue to arrive in Southern California, this trend will continue until at least next month. NVOCC consultant Jon Monroe said that the eastbound transpacific shipping company has deployed or will add 10 additional loading vessels in February, all deployed at the Port of Los Angeles-Long Beach. Judging from the latest data from the Los Angeles Signal platform, there was another peak in the surge in volume in the eighth week.

 

Congestion in West America worsens!  Aerial photography of Southern California full of container ships!  Terminal operators expect to get rid of the dilemma by the end of spring

 

 

Volume surged in the eighth week

 

Congestion in West America worsens!  Aerial photography of Southern California full of container ships!  Terminal operators expect to get rid of the dilemma by the end of spring

 

 

Jon Monroe pointed out that although more Chinese factories will continue to maintain at least part of their business this month to clear the backlog of merchandise orders compared to previous years, the total volume of the East Pacific trans-Pacific region should be greater than the previous six months. Months are less.

Scott Weiss, vice president of business development at Port Logistics Group, said that the 1.8 billion square feet of industrial and distribution space throughout Southern California is not fully loaded, just like last fall before the holiday season merchandise was transferred to stores across the country. However, the availability of space in warehouses and distribution facilities has been mixed. "Some warehouses are in a mess now, others are working well. I think the ratio is about 50-50,"

Scott Weiss said that productivity has generally declined, and warehouses across the region are experiencing labor shortages due to the new crown epidemic, but at the same time, freight volumes are still exceptionally strong. "Everyone I contacted is experiencing record sales and growth, but everyone is working hard to cope."

Weston LaBar, CEO of the Port Transportation Association, said that the current truck capacity is tight, and the availability of workers at both ends of the truck driver's route, the terminal and the distribution warehouse, has been challenged . However, when workers feel safe, they return in large numbers. LaBar said: "The most effective thing we can do right now is to vaccinate."

Refuse to load goods! The shipping company is shipping the empty containers back to China… The problem of missing containers is solved!

In recent days, the shipping industry has been in a panic due to the shortage of containers, and ocean freight has soared abnormally, which has affected the supply chain of the manufacturing industry.

However, currently, according to an indicator that tracks global shipping containers, the global shipping shortage seems to be showing signs of easing.

 

Refuse to load goods!  The shipping company is shipping the empty containers back to China... The problem of missing containers is solved!

 

The "Available Container Index" developed by the online platform Container xChange shows that this index can be maintained between 0.35 and 0.38 until the Chinese New Year in mid-February.

This index: if it falls at 0.5, it means that the supply and demand of containers is in balance; if it is lower than 0.5, it means that the supply of containers is in short supply; if it is higher than 0.5, it means that the supply is oversupply.

When the shortage of containers was the most serious last month, the index fell to an ultra-low level of 0.06 to 0.13 depending on the size of the container, and the index began to rebound this month.

It is reported that the imbalance of container shortages in 2020 will be particularly serious in Shanghai. As the Chinese factories resumed production after the epidemic eased, the demand for goods exported to the United States surged, but no empty containers were found to deliver goods out of the port.

But Container xChange said that the situation is now moving towards a normal level .

"One of the main reasons for the improvement in the imbalance between supply and demand is that the shipping industry has made every effort to transport a large number of empty containers from the world's major congested ports back to China. The Lunar New Year may become a turning point for the lack of containers. The Lunar New Year holiday starts on February 11. "

 

Refuse to load goods!  The shipping company is shipping the empty containers back to China... The problem of missing containers is solved!
Port of Los Angeles, USA

According to media reports, at present, many shipping companies are eager to ship empty containers back to China from the Port of Los Angeles in the United States and refuse to carry American goods. This has largely alleviated the current shortage of containers, but it has caused the export of American agricultural products to suffer.

For this reason, the US Federal Maritime Commission (FMC) has stated that it will investigate shipping companies' refusal to load American agricultural products and transport empty containers to them. If the investigation is unreasonable, it will impose a fine.

US financial website CNBC reported that from October to November last year, it was the peak season for American agricultural products exports. Shipping companies refused to carry hundreds of millions of dollars worth of American agricultural products exports, and would rather take the time to ship empty containers back to mainland China ports to load profits. Higher Chinese export products.

So FMC launched an investigation and reviewed data from several key ports in California, New York, and New Jersey to find out whether the shipping company’s refusal to carry violated the Maritime Act.

Refuse to load goods!  The shipping company is shipping the empty containers back to China... The problem of missing containers is solved!

 

According to FMC's survey, data from the Port of Los Angeles, the Port of Long Beach, New York and the Port of New Jersey, in October and November last year, it is estimated that as many as 178,000 standard containers were rejected. CNBC estimated the value of the affected agricultural products based on the export price of each TEU soybean/oil seed/grain item on the U.S. Bureau of Statistics website in the Port of Los Angeles.

However, industry insiders said that although shipping companies’ refusal to carry US agricultural products has caused losses to US exports, it has indeed alleviated the shortage of containers in global shipping to a certain extent in the near future, which is expected to be alleviated in the Lunar New Year.

“When the pressure on the maritime supply chain can be eased, no one can say”

In the past two months, the cost of transporting goods from China to Europe has more than quadrupled, hitting a record high, due to the pandemic disrupting global trade and the shortage of empty containers.

 

Data from shippers and importers show that the freight for transporting a 40-foot container from Asia to Northern Europe has risen from approximately US$2,000 in November last year to more than US$9,000.

Lars Jensen, CEO of maritime consulting company SeaIntelligence, said that the reason for the increase in freight rates is the market's competition for limited resources-containers.

 

In the first half of 2020, due to a sudden slowdown in global trade due to the epidemic blockade, shipping companies have suspended large-scale shipping and thousands of empty containers are stranded in Europe and the United States. In the second half of the year, when Western countries' demand for Asian-made goods rebounded, competition among shippers for available containers pushed up freight rates.

 

John Butler, Chairman of the World Shipping Council, said, "The freight volume has dropped from a sharp decline to soaring to the highest level in history, and the effective handling capacity of the terminal has exceeded the upper limit."

 

He added that the congestion in the port has caused freight rates to rise, and shipping companies charge additional fees to compensate for the longer waiting time.

 

 

"When the pressure on the maritime supply chain can be eased, no one can say"

 

 

British freight forwarding company Edge Worldwide CEO Philip Edge said that some shipping companies charge US$12,000 per container, much higher than the US$2,000 in October last year.

 

The British Household Electrical Appliance Manufacturers Association stated in a statement, “According to member companies’ disclosures, shipping costs have increased by more than 300% since 2020. Especially for some commodities, the increase in shipping costs has exceeded the net increase Profit. Therefore, these costs will have to be passed on to the end user."

 

The owner of a leisure goods importer in Manchester said that the shortage of containers is having a “huge impact” on his business, and some orders placed in November are still waiting to be shipped. "The question is, is it to pay $12,000 now and pass the cost on to the customer, or to wait at the risk of exhausting inventory?"

 

Economists say that such interruptions and delays are beginning to affect global supply chains. Neil Shearing, chief economist at Capital Economics, said that "transportation pressure is accumulating and may increase further."

 

A recent survey by IHS Markit found that in December last year, the delivery time of manufacturing suppliers in the Eurozone reached the worst level since the peak of the pandemic lockdown in April. Shipping delays and general commodity shortages were "widely mentioned" by suppliers. .

 

 

"When the pressure on the maritime supply chain can be eased, no one can say"

 

 

The companies surveyed stated that they are consuming inventory of raw materials and semi-finished products, resulting in a decline in inventory.

 

Bert Colijn, senior economist at ING, said that "supply shortages and rising freight rates may slightly curb trade growth."

 

On the occasion of the Chinese New Year in February, the Asian manufacturing industry slowed down. Shipping companies hope to use this time to solve the problem of increasing backlog orders, which will temporarily cool freight rates.

 

However, BIMCO chief shipping analyst Peter Sand said that the shortage of containers may continue for a long time in 2021. Although the shipping company has ordered new containers, in his opinion, such a move is "too small and too late."

 

Lars Jensen also believes that although freight rates may drop slightly, "there are still a lot of goods waiting to be transported."

 

John Butler pointed out that only when epidemic-related restrictions are reduced and people have more diverse service choices, the pressure on the maritime supply chain can be alleviated, but no one can say when it can be improved.

Is it a good thing for shippers to have significantly reduced shipping company suspensions during the Spring Festival this year?

Due to the continued strong demand for shipping on major routes, the number of container shipping companies suspended around the Spring Festival appears to be much smaller than in previous years. China's manufacturing industry will temporarily suspend work during the Spring Festival every year, and the corresponding shipping logistics will also slow down accordingly. Currently, the Spring Festival is less than six weeks away.

 

Is it a good thing for shippers to have significantly reduced shipping company suspensions during the Spring Festival this year?

 

 

Sea-Intelligence, a shipping consulting company, said that in "normal years", Chinese factories have reduced production and trade due to the Lunar New Year holiday, and some shipping companies have adopted a suspension strategy to balance capacity and demand. However, in the recent period, due to the increase in freight rates for trans-Pacific and Asia-Europe cargo flows, shipping companies’ practices seem to be different from previous years.

 

Sea-Intelligence CEO Alan Murphy said that under the influence of many uncertain factors, it is difficult for the market to make consistent predictions on manufacturing production during the Spring Festival in 2021. Shipping companies also have greater difficulty in planning capacity allocation.

 

Is it a good thing for shippers to have significantly reduced shipping company suspensions during the Spring Festival this year?

 

 

As of January 1, on the trans-Pacific route, the shipping companies had only announced 5 suspension voyages, while during the three-week Chinese New Year (weeks 7-9), the Asia-Europe route had only 7 suspension voyages. One. In the same period of 2020, the number of suspended voyages reached 88. If the impact of the epidemic is excluded, the number will reach 73, an increase of 10 over the same period in 2019.

 

If you analyze the voyage deployment of the Asia-North American West Coast trade route four weeks before the Chinese New Year in 2021 to three weeks after the Chinese New Year, and compare it with the same period in 2016-2020, it can be seen that the number of suspended flights in 2021 has not been significantly reduced.

 

Currently, the number of suspended voyages during the Spring Festival in 2021 is much lower than in previous years. If it reaches the capacity reduction level of previous years, the shipping company will need to suspend 37-41 voyages on the Asia-NAWC route and 12-15 voyages on the east coast of Asia-North America.

 

Similarly, the Asia-Northern Europe route must cancel 14-17 more voyages, and the Asia-Mediterranean route must cancel another 4-6 voyages. In Alan Murphy's view, it is difficult to predict the optimal deployment of voyages, but it is clear that the number of planned suspensions of shipping companies will be much less than in previous years.

 

He added that if the level of previous years is to be reached, a large number of suspended voyages must be announced soon. "

 

Is it a good thing for shippers to have significantly reduced shipping company suspensions during the Spring Festival this year?

 

 

In addition, an analysis on freight rates and demand pointed out that at the end of 2020, the freight rates on the Asia-US route will continue to rise.

Freightos said that the continuous surge in demand, including shipping pressure before the Spring Festival, is enough to push up the freight rates of trans-Pacific routes.

 

In the first week of January, the Shanghai Container Freight Index showed that the freight rate from Shanghai to the United States dropped slightly and the freight rate remained at a relatively high level. Among them, the average freight rate from Shanghai to the West Coast of the United States was still above US$4,000/FEU. , The average freight rate from Shanghai to the east coast of the United States is still above US$4,700/FEU. At the same time, the return freight rate increased by 36% to 703 US dollars/FEU and 25% to 769 US dollars/FEU respectively. The main reason for this was the increase in costs caused by the shipping companies to dispatch empty containers.

 

Is it a good thing for shippers to have significantly reduced shipping company suspensions during the Spring Festival this year?
(Source: Shanghai Shipping Exchange)

The freight rates of Asia-Europe and Asia-Mediterranean routes have increased by 30% in the first week of 2021. Freightos pointed out that the basic freight rates (excluding surcharges) of the two routes have risen to an unfeasible $7,000/FEU, which has tripled compared to the end of October and tripled over the same period last year.

 

Freightos added that because demand has not significantly decreased, analysts expect that congestion, delays, equipment shortages, and high rates may continue beyond the Spring Festival and continue into the second quarter of 2021.

 

Freightos Chief Marketing Officer Eytan Buchman said that for cargo owners, there can be expectations. During the Spring Festival, the number of suspensions announced by shipping companies is much lower than normal, which may indicate that they will use this time to ease the number of empty containers. The problem of imbalance. "

New high! The freight rate of the US West route rose to 4189 US dollars, three times that of the same period last year. Many shipping companies continue to charge surcharges

After the freight rate in the trans-Pacific market has remained stable for a period of time, it has recently started a rising mode.

According to the Freightos Baltic Daily Index (Freightos Baltic Daily Index), on December 28, 2020, the freight rate of the Asia-US West Coast route reached US$4,189/FEU, a record high, an increase of 8% from December 25, which is the year of 2019. 3 times over the same period.

New high!  The freight rate of the US West route rose to 4189 US dollars, three times that of the same period last year. Many shipping companies continue to charge surcharges

At the same time, the freight rate of the Asia-US East Coast route also reached an astonishing US$5397/FEU, a 9% increase from December 25 and twice the rate of the same period in 2019.

New high!  The freight rate of the US West route rose to 4189 US dollars, three times that of the same period last year. Many shipping companies continue to charge surcharges

According to data from the Shanghai Shipping Exchange, on December 25, 2020, the freight rates (sea freight and ocean freight surcharges) for exports from Shanghai to the basic port markets of the West and the East of the United States were 4,080 USD/FEU and 4,876 USD/FEU, respectively. The US West route rose 4.6% from the previous week.

Analysts of the Shanghai Shipping Exchange said that the average space utilization rate of ships on the Shanghai Port to the West and East U.S. routes maintained at a level close to full load. However, the U.S. epidemic has blocked the turnover of containers, and a large number of containers are stranded at the local terminal. The congestion of the port is increasing, and the shortage of containers has not been alleviated.

In addition, a number of shipping companies including CMA CGM, Hapag-Lloyd, Evergreen Shipping, HMM, ONE, Yangming Shipping, and Star Shipping have announced that they will start on the trans-Pacific route from January 1, 2021. , Charge a comprehensive rate increase surcharge (GRI) ranging from US$1,000 to US$1,200/FEU.

The market predicts that the upward trend of freight rates will continue until January 2021.

New high!  The freight rate of the US West route rose to 4189 US dollars, three times that of the same period last year. Many shipping companies continue to charge surcharges

In contrast to the fast-growing transportation demand, after a fully loaded ship arrived at the US West Port, it faced the dilemma of nowhere to stop.

According to a report released by the Marine Exchange of Southern California on December 28, 2020, a total of 24 container ships are anchored in San Pedro Bay, and another 5 ships are about to arrive.

According to the report, the local conventional anchorages are full of ships, and some emergency anchorages have also been occupied.

Marine Traffic uses an automatic identification system to draw a map that shows the extent of the accumulation of container ships in San Pedro Bay, which has deteriorated in recent weeks.

New high!  The freight rate of the US West route rose to 4189 US dollars, three times that of the same period last year. Many shipping companies continue to charge surcharges

According to statistics, 26 additional ships called at the Port of Los Angeles in November and 31 ships in December. A port manager said that it is expected that in January 2021, more additional ships will call.

The loading and unloading capacity of the Port of Los Angeles and Long Beach has already faced serious shortages. The Port of Los Angeles will import 116,500 TEU containers this week, and it is expected to increase significantly to 150,000 TEU per week by January 2021.

The continuous increase in freight rates and the severe congestion at the US West Port have caused shippers’ costs to hit unprecedented highs, and shippers have to reassess their transportation cost budgets for 2021.