Air freight is waiting for warehousing and freight rates are skyrocketing!

1. What is the current air cargo situation?

Air cargo has ushered in the traditional peak season again. Not only has the volume of cargo increased sharply, but also the phenomenon of warehouse explosions and queues. The air freight prices of some routes have also increased or even doubled.

Katie Griley, vice president of operations at Griley Air Freight, revealed that the peak season is coming. Even if the cargo arrives at the local airport, it will take 4 to 8 hours for truck drivers to pick up the cargo from Los Angeles International Airport.

 

Air freight is waiting for warehousing and freight rates are skyrocketing!  How to explain to customers in English?

 

 

Air freight is waiting for warehousing and freight rates are skyrocketing!  How to explain to customers in English?

Query URL: https://www.newsbreak.com/news/2103446982404/peak-season-congestion-traps-truckers-for-hours-at-lax-cargo-terminals

In this regard, the International Air Cargo Association (IATA) stated that during the surge in e-commerce in recent months, the continuous shortage of capacity due to the lack of passenger aircraft services will cause a particularly serious blow to the air cargo industry.

So what is the current domestic situation?

An executive vice president of international freight in Shanghai said that it is now in the traditional peak season for air transportation, and the recent traffic jams and queues in the unloading area of ​​the airport logistics storage area are very serious. The liquidation should start in mid-October, and not only the volume of cargo has increased significantly, but the freight prices of major routes have also increased a lot.

In fact, not only the domestic but also the international air cargo market has been in a high boom this year. The freight rate has also been at a high level for a long time. Some routes have also risen to the highest prices in history.

2. The reason for the explosion of air freight and the skyrocketing freight?

According to a report from CCTV Finance, Dexun Group East China Managing Director Fu Keqiang said that from the second quarter to the present, the four main products that have contributed to the growth of air freight are electronic products, e-commerce channel products, personal protective equipment and auto parts. , These four products accounted for the main growth factors.

Zhao Chao, a senior analyst in the transportation industry of Changjiang Securities, said that on the one hand, the shortage of transportation capacity is difficult to reverse in the short term. On the other hand, when consumption in Europe and the United States is the most prosperous, such as Christmas and other shopping seasons, the overall freight rate should still remain. The high position will continue to rise.

So how to explain to customers in English?

1. Peak season demand soars

Paul Molinaro, head of WHO's business support and logistics operations, told Reuters that a series of factors have driven prices up, including the higher-than-usual increase in e-commerce before Christmas.

According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, e-commerce sales in the United States in the third quarter increased by 37% compared with the same period in 2019. According to data collected by Buy Shares, online shopping spending during the Thanksgiving weekend (including Black Friday and Cyber ​​Monday) increased by 20% to $29.6 billion.

 

Air freight is waiting for warehousing and freight rates are skyrocketing!  How to explain to customers in English?

 

 

Air freight is waiting for warehousing and freight rates are skyrocketing!  How to explain to customers in English?

Query URL: https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1208780.shtml

According to data sent to the Global Times by cross-border e-commerce platform DHgate, shipments from China to the US accounted for approximately 68% of the platform's total sales in September. Peak season for Christmas decoration transportation. The best sellers are Santa sack, solar LED string lights, Christmas snowman, artificial flowers and Christmas masks. 

We can tell our customers like this:

Airline body IATA’s chief economist Brian Pearce said that Christmas demand “exaggerates the problem” of a surge in demand for airfreight.

Airline International Air Transport Association (IATA) chief economist Brian Pearce (Brian Pearce) said that the demand for Christmas prompted the explosion of international air cargo.

The COVID-19 pandemic's impact on production in countries around the world and the nearing of Christmas, a peak season for export of Chinese products to Europe and the United States, were part of the reasons for the surge in demand for airfreight.

Due to the impact of the epidemic on the production of countries around the world and the approach of Christmas, which is the peak season for China’s exports to Europe and the United States, this is also part of the reason for the explosion of air cargo.

2. Insufficient capacity

Data from the global air cargo market showed that air cargo demand continued to grow in October, but the growth rate was lower than the previous month.

 

Air freight is waiting for warehousing and freight rates are skyrocketing!  How to explain to customers in English?

 

 

 

Air freight is waiting for warehousing and freight rates are skyrocketing!  How to explain to customers in English?

Website query: https://aircargoeye.com/air-cargo-facing-peak-season-capacity-crunch/

IATA Director-General and CEO Alexandre de Juniac (Alexandre de Juniac) pointed out that air cargo demand is picking up, and we believe this trend will continue into the fourth quarter.

We can tell our customers like this:

Alexandre de Juniac, IATA’s director general and chief executive, notes that the biggest problem for air cargo is the lack of capacity, as much of the passenger fleet remains grounded.That will likely be exaggerated with shoppers relying on e-commerce – 80 per cent of which is delivered by air.

IATA Director-General and CEO Alexander de Juniac said: The biggest problem with air cargo is insufficient capacity, because most passenger planes are still grounded. If shoppers continue to shop online, it is no exaggeration to say that 80% of them are delivered by air.

So, the capacity crunch from the grounded aircraft will hit particularly hard in the closing months of 2020 which were part of the reasons for the surge in demand for airfreight.

Therefore, in the months before 2020, the production capacity of grounded aircraft will be particularly severe, which is also part of the reason for the explosion of air cargo.

3. Soaring freight

It is reported that due to the impact of the epidemic, the United States announced restrictions on flights from Asia and Europe, which affected the capacity of transportation and hauling of goods. Global supply chain disruptions and restrictions have forced operators to rely on commercial aircraft, which has led to a sharp increase in the rates of all-cargo airlines.

 

 

Air freight is waiting for warehousing and freight rates are skyrocketing!  How to explain to customers in English?

 

 

Air freight is waiting for warehousing and freight rates are skyrocketing!  How to explain to customers in English?

Website query: https://www.supplychaindive.com/news/airfreight-cargo-rates-demand-climbs-near-peak-season/588619/

According to a report from the International Air Transport Association (IATA), the highly anticipated releases of electronic products such as the iPhone and Play Station 5 are traditionally shipped by air during Christmas and Black Friday.

 

Air freight is waiting for warehousing and freight rates are skyrocketing!  How to explain to customers in English?

 

Query URL: https://www.supplychaindive.com/news/ups-raises-surcharges-china-us/587260/

The increase in air freight demand before the holidays caused rates to soar again. From October 12th to November 9th, freight rates between China/Hong Kong and the United States increased by nearly 46%, reaching US$7.40 per kilogram, more than double the same period last year.

American Airlines President Robert Isom said last month: “From August to September alone, we doubled our cargo volume and operated 1,900 flights, serving 32 destinations in the third quarter. Provide services locally."

We can tell our customers like this:

A surge in demand for airfreight during the pandemic, coupled with peak season needs, has pushed UPS/Fedex/DHL to once again raise fees on goods flowing from China to the foreign countries.

The surge in demand for air transportation during the epidemic, coupled with peak season demand, prompted UPS/Fedex/DHL, etc. to once again increase the charges for goods from mainland China to other countries.

With holiday season upon us, shippers are yet again forced to shell out higher prices. Decreased capacity and higher rates have been a staple this year, causing fluctuating prices in air cargo especially, and in order to secure space, shippers have paid higher rates and additional surcharges.

With the advent of the holidays, shippers are again forced to pay higher prices. Declining capacity and rising tariffs are the main things this year, especially because of the fluctuations in air cargo prices. In order to ensure space, the shipper paid higher rates and surcharges. 

The International Air Transport Association Brian Pearce said at a recent press conference that all signs indicate that air cargo volumes will continue to grow for the rest of the year. And manufacturers (the main driving force of air transport) are particularly bullish. In response to this situation, what are the current measures taken by all parties?

3. What are the measures taken by all parties?

domestic

Faced with the huge increase in demand for international air cargo, airlines have also increased the delivery of international cargo flights . According to statistics, China's international cargo flights increased substantially at the end of October, reaching about 2.3 times the same period last year. All airlines have invested more cargo capacity, and the frequency of both all-cargo aircraft and "passenger-to-cargo" aircraft has increased significantly.

Wang Jianmin, deputy general manager of Eastern Airlines Logistics Co., Ltd., said that the number of "passenger-to-cargo" flights increased significantly in October and November, and there were more than 100 more flights in October compared with September. In November, the number of "passenger-to-cargo" flights increased to 1,000. Around, a substantial increase from October. In November, the utilization rate of freighters reached a peak of 14 hours per day, and some exceeded 14 hours.

foreign

Lu Dongmei, China's chief representative of Lufthansa, said that in order to meet the growing demand for cargo capacity, Lufthansa has turned passenger planes into cargo planes and filled their abdominal cavity with cargo that can fly around the world. In addition to the all-cargo operations 20 cargo flights a week, but China also conducted five weekly flights on passenger aircraft turnaround.

Canadian officials said that due to the impact of the epidemic, its e-commerce market is growing, and there is a chronic shortage of cargo aircraft. Air Canada plans to convert the Boeing 767, which has recently withdrawn from passenger service, to be able to carry large containers and pallets on the main deck. The premise is that the carrier needs to reach an agreement with the pilot.

DHL Express said that due to the grounding of most passenger aircraft, the abdominal muscle capacity is insufficient, although there are plans to provide air charter services to serve certain major markets. But this year still adds six aircraft, which is to overcome the air cargo capacity restrictions caused during the epidemic.

Finally, remind foreign trade friends who are shipping by air in the near future to communicate with customers on capacity in a timely manner, and to be cautious in quoting (each airline may adjust prices frequently) to avoid unnecessary losses.

Refrigerated container transportation is tightening, not only in China, shipping companies also suspend receiving cold container space bookings for these 5 European countries

In recent months, the container market has experienced extreme conditions. High freight rates and container shortages have plagued the market and will continue for some time. In addition to the short plug of the reefer, the import and export of the reefer will also be a new challenge.

Large companies and logistics companies that need to ship refrigerated goods must be prepared, and shipping companies have announced that they will stop receiving freezers.

 

Refrigerated container transportation is tightening, not only in China, shipping companies also suspend receiving cold container space bookings for these 5 European countries

It is reported that the shipping company Hapag-Lloyd announced that it will suspend all 40' freezer bookings in Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Hungary and the Czech Republic until the end of December 2020.

"Our goal is to support all confirmed export orders, but reservations may be cancelled for individual cases. We will try our best to provide all customers with the best service, but we expect that the situation will remain very tense in the coming weeks." Herb Roth wrote in a statement.

 

Refrigerated container transportation is tightening, not only in China, shipping companies also suspend receiving cold container space bookings for these 5 European countries

"This once again shows that the market is facing severe container equipment challenges. This is a prominent problem that affects the supply chain in many places, not just the supply chain in Asia." Shipping analyst and chief executive of Sea-Intelligence Consulting Officer Lars Jensen said.

In addition to Europe, Hapag-Lloyd announced on December 3 that the port was congested due to stricter customs inspection and disinfection of imported food entering Huangpu. From now on, we will temporarily stop accepting reservations for refrigerated containers entering Huangpu Port in China until further notice.

 

Refrigerated container transportation is tightening, not only in China, shipping companies also suspend receiving cold container space bookings for these 5 European countries

In view of the above situation, customers are kindly requested to provide written confirmation as soon as possible. You can have the following options:

(1) If circumstances permit, accept delivery at the current port of discharge;

(2) Transfer your refrigerated container to another port/destination;

(3) Transport your refrigerated container back to the port of departure;

(4) If there is no instruction from the customer, Hapag-Lloyd reserves the right to make all necessary arrangements.

Please note that for any of the above options, all additional costs, risks and liabilities related to storage or transportation of the goods after unloading will be borne by the owner of the goods.

At the same time, Hapag-Lloyd also announced that it will temporarily stop receiving orders for imported reefer containers from Busan, South Korea to Tianjin, China , with immediate effect.

 

Refrigerated container transportation is tightening, not only in China, shipping companies also suspend receiving cold container space bookings for these 5 European countries

 

 

Refrigerated container transportation is tightening, not only in China, shipping companies also suspend receiving cold container space bookings for these 5 European countries

In addition, my country has recently increased its inspection of imported refrigerated goods, making the inspection of refrigerated goods more stringent and time-consuming. Ports are facing problems such as slow pickup of containers and port congestion.

Ocean Network ONE stated in the announcement that it will suspend the delivery of refrigerated containers to Huangpu Port from November 26. In addition to the latest announcement of ONE, Xiamen, Fuzhou and Fuqing have also suspended receiving imported refrigerated containers.

ONE stated that due to the stricter inspection and disinfection requirements imposed by customs on refrigerated containers imported into Xiamen/Fuzhou/Fuqing, the delivery of freezer containers has been slow and is facing congestion.

In view of this situation, from the date of shipment on December 8, 2020, ONE will stop accepting all orders for refrigerated goods destined for Fuzhou and Fuqing, China , until further notice.

Starting from the loading date on December 9, 2020, ONE will stop accepting all reservations for refrigerated cargo to Xiamen, China or for transshipment via Xiamen , until further notice.

 

Refrigerated container transportation is tightening, not only in China, shipping companies also suspend receiving cold container space bookings for these 5 European countries

 

 

Refrigerated container transportation is tightening, not only in China, shipping companies also suspend receiving cold container space bookings for these 5 European countries

 

 

Refrigerated container transportation is tightening, not only in China, shipping companies also suspend receiving cold container space bookings for these 5 European countries
▲ONE announcement

For containers in transit, ONE strongly recommends that customers consider changing the destination to another port, especially for time-sensitive goods, such as fresh and refrigerated goods.

For refrigerated containers that have been transshipped to Xiamen, or refrigerated containers that have been detained at the transshipment port for further transportation to Xiamen, please note that all related expenses will be borne by the consignee and paid upon delivery.

For containers that have been transshipped to Fuzhou/Fuqing or detained at a transit port, once the Fuzhou/Fuqing feeder space is available, a specific surcharge will be charged at the time of loading.

Severe congestion and long waiting time, Vietnam’s largest deep-water port is waiting for a berth 50 kilometers

The shift of manufacturing from China to Vietnam has also put pressure on the country's container supply chain.

According to the forecast of the International Monetary Fund, Vietnam's gross domestic product (GDP) will grow by 2.4%. As many other countries fall into recession due to the epidemic blockade, Vietnam is expected to become one of the fastest growing economies in the world in 2020.

According to Simon Vandekerckove, general manager of freight logistics giant Geodis Vietnam, procurement in Vietnam is entering a new stage. The factory is overbooked. We see that overseas customers have high expectations for Vietnam, but Vietnam does not have the necessary legal or logistics basis. Facilities to achieve this.

 

"Vietnam needs a lot of investment to increase new productivity and infrastructure to cope with increasing demand, and because customers want to reduce the financial risk of sourcing from only one region, Vietnam is likely to become an outsourcing region for other ASEAN countries such as Thailand and Indonesia. one."

At the same time, the shortage of global capacity and container equipment is putting pressure on Vietnam's main container ports.

A local freight forwarder in Vietnam said that the inland river terminal in Ho Chi Minh City has been congested for a long time, and the current market conditions have increased the waiting time. The export container yard capacity is 120%, and ships need to wait two to three days to find a berth.

He added: “In Cat Lai, all shipping companies’ outbound volumes have increased dramatically, but due to lack of space, about 10%-20% of the cargo must be transferred to the next ship each time.”

Vietnam’s largest deep-water port, Cai Mep, is letting ships wait 50 kilometers away. In October, the Cai Mep International Terminal (CMIT) operated by APM Terminal received the 20,000 teu Margrethe Maersk call, which is 2M One of the direct trans-Pacific routes.

The port used to have very large container ships docked (temporarily docked), but the current demand trend may cause more and more ships to come here. Next year, CMA CGM will cooperate with local operator Gemadept to open the newest terminal in Cai Mep.

Nevertheless, the current shortage of space and container equipment and the sharp rise in costs are still a huge challenge.

Vandekerckove explained: "According to all types of freight FAK and spot freight rates, bookings from Vietnam require two to three weeks in advance to secure containers and space. To the west coast of the United States, freight rates have increased by 140%, and the Mediterranean area has increased by 70%. , The Nordic region rose by 15%."

Mr. Vandekerckove said that in most cases, air freight is not an option, but road freight provides flexible options for some customers.

Drewry analyst: The profitability of container ports this year is not as good as that of container ship owners

Drewry's report shows that the revenue of container port operators dropped by nearly US$1.9 billion in the first half of 2020. In addition to the well-known global epidemic, the decline in freight volume and port congestion are also reasons.

Drewry Port Analyst Eleanor Hadland said in the webinar: "The profitability of container ports this year is not as good as that of container ships... Our cooperative operator's transaction volume in the first half of this year dropped by 4%, while Drewry estimates global port handling volume. A decline of 5.6%... In the first half of the year, 80% of companies reported a decline in revenue. In terms of profitability, 70% of the companies’ profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization in 2020 Lower."

Prior to the outbreak, Drewry predicted that sales in the first half of 2020 will increase by 4.8%. This is equivalent to a global revenue growth of more than 7%.

"However, due to a nearly 6% drop in sales volume, the revised estimate is now 5% lower than in 2019 and 11% lower than the pre-epidemic forecast. For the entire industry, we forecast the interest, tax, depreciation and amortization in the first half of the year. Pre-sales profit will drop by about 16% from 2019 and 21% lower than the forecast before the epidemic."

Most operators have taken cost-cutting measures. During the epidemic, due to the adoption of new working methods, and due to illness or quarantine requirements for workers, the terminal must pay for absenteeism, so the actual labor cost has increased.

Turkey-based operator Yildirim announced today that it will add a surcharge to cover the additional expenses during the new crown epidemic . The company said: “Since the beginning of the epidemic, Yilport Holding has taken additional measures to ensure the continuity of all business partners. However, the increased cost of additional health protection and protective equipment has made it difficult for us to balance our expenses. Since January 1, 2021 Starting today, we will charge an emergency surcharge for each import and export container ."

Martin Dixon, a shipping analyst, said: " The most important factor in the surge in ship operating costs is labor costs. Due to the inconvenience of crew changes, labor costs have soared . According to forecasts in 2019, labor costs can only increase by 1.3%, but in fact, in 2020 Labor costs rose by 6.2%."

Dry cargo: how dangerous it is to conceal the transportation of dangerous goods

Regarding the concealment of import and export goods, let’s look at a case first:

On August 4, a violent explosion occurred in the port area of ​​Beirut, the capital of Lebanon, on the evening of the 4th. Preliminary statistics showed that at least 100 people were killed and more than 4,000 were injured in the explosion. The Prime Minister of Lebanon confirmed that up to 2,750 tons of explosive chemical ammonium nitrate stored in a port warehouse had exploded.

These ammonium nitrates were piled up in Beirut's port area for six years "without the necessary safety measures"!

It is understood that ammonium nitrate may explode when it is shaken or close to the fire source. The conditions of the explosion are not difficult to achieve. Nitric acid will decompose at about 180°C.

Prior to this, ammonium nitrate has caused too many major explosion accidents. Developed countries such as the United States, Britain, and France have all experienced the horror of the ammonium nitrate explosion. Bloody events are disasters for every country encountered, even for humans.

Everyone must have learned about this explosion from the overwhelming reports. However, this major accident called Lebanon’s national disaster is only one of many port and cargo ship accidents. It is not difficult to find that there have been several foreign explosions in the past. It happened in ports or in cargo ships or trains.

This is bound to be reminiscent of the safety of imported and exported goods, and under-reporting is a thing most hated by various cross-border companies.

Customs declaration: This batch of goods are toothbrushes.

Glass: Who is your name?

Customs declaration: This box of goods is paper towels.

Bath towel: You insult people!

...

 

These are all concealment of ordinary goods, and may only involve smuggling and other issues, but a concealment of dangerous goods is like sending an untimely bomb to freight forwarders, shipping companies, and port workers. Once an accident occurs, the consequences are disastrous.

Consequences of concealment of general cargo:

In order to evade tax, deliberately concealing part of the taxable goods constitutes smuggling. The specific legal consequences should be determined in conjunction with the amount of tax evasion.

Consequences of under-reporting of dangerous goods:

Serious accidents caused by improper storage and stowage locations; damage to the safety of the crew and the vessel; use of water guns to extinguish water damage to other containers and cargo in the cabin; delays to the entire route; huge operating costs, investigation costs, etc. Etc.; fines required by local maritime customs; customs detaining boxes for several years; may be classified as criminal smuggling and other crimes; pollution to the environment...

Measures to prevent false reports

1. Strengthen professional and safety knowledge education

As a cross-border industry practitioner, we must strengthen the training and education of hazardous materials and safety knowledge, and improve our professional service capabilities.

2. Strengthen the credit review of shippers

Strengthen the credit review of the shipper, and find out the actual source of the goods for the goods whose factory address and name are relatively acceptable. In many foreign ports, concealment of goods is a criminal responsibility, so practitioners must take it seriously.

3. Ensure clear declaration of product name

Make sure that the shipper’s declaration of the cargo brand is clear. If the declaration of the cargo name is vague and general, you must ask clearly. Some chemicals are suspected of being dangerous goods, and the shipper must be required to provide chemical safety instructions and corresponding test reports.

4. New customer information is true

In addition, you need to pay attention to whether the information of new customers is true, especially those new customers who do not need to provide customs declaration, warehousing, and towing services.

5. The product name is inconsistent with the bill of lading

If the product name is inconsistent with the bill of lading, the freight forwarder Yaao will take the initiative to check the customs declaration product name to ensure that the three orders of this batch of goods are consistent.

The monthly volume of 300 boxes has been reduced to 3, and the shipping company has suspended the delivery of American agricultural products and is warned by the FMC investigation

The US Federal Maritime Commission (FMC) threatened to use all its possible powers to overturn the decision of international shipping companies to abandon the export of American agricultural products and relocate empty containers instead.

The shortage of containers and market forces have caused some shipping companies to cut the container quotas of traditional American exporters to alleviate some serious problems in the supply chain. This has had a huge impact on US agricultural exports. Reports say that some cargo owners’ quotas have been reduced from 300 containers per month to three.

Under the vigorous lobbying of the U.S. Agricultural Transportation Union and its partners, FMC announced that it would investigate these measures.

 

"Some shipping companies have already stated that they will no longer deploy empty containers to inland agricultural areas of the United States. Instead, they are speeding up the delivery of empty containers back to Asia." FMC Chairman Michael Khouri said at the Global Maritime Conference.

"This approach is to keep U.S. agricultural exports out of the global market. We are investigating and possible response measures, including reviewing whether the actions of these shipping companies are in full compliance with the Shipping Act, and more specifically, the Act. "Prohibited Acts" clauses in the "Prohibited Acts"," he said. 

At the end of October, the shipping company Hapag-Lloyd has decided to suspend export bookings for soybeans and other agricultural products from the United States in order to return empty containers to Asia to load imported goods from the United States instead of shipping containers to the inland United States.

 

Earlier this month, the Special Soybean and Grain Alliance (SSGA), a US agricultural transportation organization, stated that the lack of containers and its members’ inability to load exported goods is prompting Asian customers to investigate other food buyers.

SSGA Executive Director Eric Wenberg said: "Our members have heard from Asian customers that they doubt that the United States and its agricultural exporters will continue to be reliable suppliers based on the difficulties of today's multimodal transportation."

"Marine shipping companies need to work with us to solve these transportation problems and ship our goods back to Asian ports. Otherwise, the United States has been a reputation for exporting high-quality food to foreign customers and we must take action." He added.

Space booking is suspended, freight rates continue to soar

Magic 2020, the shipping industry has breaking news every day, and it always affects the hearts of foreign trade forwarders.

Today, the Moments of Friends screened the video of the driver grabbing the box. Truck drivers flocked to "queue" to pick up the cabinet. You earn and I grab one box, and they are almost "fighting".

 

Truck drivers "grab the box" are popular!  Space booking is suspended, freight rates continue to soar, analysis agency: the peak season of the Chinese New Year container shipment may end

This is a real response. Even if the shipping company normally releases the cabin, there is no guarantee that there will be boxes. It is difficult to find a box in China.

Another heavy news is that CMA CGM will directly stop accepting bookings from Asia to Europe in the next three weeks, and temporarily stop bookings on the Asia-Northern Europe route in the 49th, 50th and 51st weeks. The European route has basically ended this year. Booking.

 

Truck drivers "grab the box" are popular!  Space booking is suspended, freight rates continue to soar, analysis agency: the peak season of the Chinese New Year container shipment may end

In recent months, due to the uneven recovery of the global economy, the rebound of epidemics in many countries, and the arrival of traditional transportation seasons such as Christmas and New Year, congestion has occurred in many European and American ports, but many domestic ports are extremely short of containers.

Under such circumstances, many large shipping companies impose additional charges such as congestion surcharges, peak season surcharges, and shortage of containers.

Following the further surge in freight rates on the European and Mediterranean routes last week, data shows that this week, China’s export container shipping market performed stably, and transportation demand remained stable. The freight rates on most shipping routes rose, which led to a rise in the composite index.

The largest increase was the year-on-year growth rate in Northern Europe of 196.8%, the year-on-year growth rate in the Mediterranean Sea was 209.2%, and the year-on-year growth rates in the West and East of the United States were 161.6% and 78.2%, respectively. 390.5%. 

 

Truck drivers "grab the box" are popular!  Space booking is suspended, freight rates continue to soar, analysis agency: the peak season of the Chinese New Year container shipment may end
Shanghai Export Container Freight Index

As Christmas approaches, shippers and their freight forwarders in Europe and North America continue to generally face the problems of container shortages, port congestion, declining capacity and soaring freight rates. Many people in the industry are talking about the current "peak season" in the container industry. "When will it end?

According to the latest analysis conducted by Lar Jensen, CEO of shipping analysis agency SeaIntelligence, on behalf of the Baltic Exchange, the answer is likely to be around the Lunar New Year holiday in February, because the options available to supply chain stakeholders are very limited.

 

Truck drivers "grab the box" are popular!  Space booking is suspended, freight rates continue to soar, analysis agency: the peak season of the Chinese New Year container shipment may end
Chinese New Year will mark the end of the "peak season" of the container industry

The root cause of the current problem is the unexpected demand for container cargo due to the global social blockade.

Jensen said that there are three key issues in meeting higher levels of demand: container, ship and port capacity constraints. He wrote: "If demand decreases, the problem will be resolved immediately."

"However, shipping companies may show their determination to reduce capacity again in order to cope with the downward trend in demand. This means that very high spot freight rates will drop, and new equipment available surcharges will disappear, but the interest rate will not It's too likely to crash." He added.

In these strange years, it is difficult for the industry to reach a consensus, but there are few signs that consumer demand will decline in the short term.

Jensen said that for many shippers and freight forwarders, the most pressing problem is the serious shortage of containers, but as China's container manufacturing plants are in full production, this problem may be alleviated before the Chinese New Year on February 12.

"This problem can be solved within a few months." He said: "The solution is that the empty containers are shipped back from Europe and North America faster, coupled with the full work of China's container factories... The current situation can be After the Spring Festival, it ended peacefully."

However, it will take longer to solve the problem of global ship and port capacity. When the capacity is insufficient, the traditional approach of shipping companies is to turn to the leasing market. However, due to the surge in demand, only a few boats are available for hire.

"As a result, the time scale for increasing capacity has changed from weeks to years now, because it will require the construction of new ships. Moreover, since the peak demand may be temporary, this solution will not help solve the problem." He wrote.

 

Truck drivers "grab the box" are popular!  Space booking is suspended, freight rates continue to soar, analysis agency: the peak season of the Chinese New Year container shipment may end

Another option for shipping companies is to increase their ship speed. Faster service can free up the structural capabilities of the shipping group, although this does increase costs.

"In general, considering the optimization of fuel, when modifying or building these ships, they cannot sail as fast as ten years ago, but there is still a certain degree of additional capacity that needs to be activated. However, this also comes at a cost. , Including the sharp increase in carbon emissions."

Finally, there is the issue of port inventory, which he admits is almost powerless in the short term.

"The surge in demand and the increase in ship arrivals have not only affected the number of containers that the port can handle, but also the number of ships that can be berthed and served."

"In addition, the surge in demand has caused larger ships to arrive with more cargo than originally planned, which means longer berth stays, a chain reaction, and subsequent ships will be delayed."

"The expansion of the port's capacity can only be measured in a few years at most. In some areas, large expansion projects can take up to 10 years."

The off-season is not “light”, and container demand remains strong

The container throughput of global ports continued to increase in October, with a total volume of 15.2 million TEUs that month. So far in 2020, the container throughput has reached 137.7 million TEUs, which is only 2.7% lower than in 2019.

 

 

The off-season is not "light", and container demand remains strong

The off-season is not "light"

The latest data from Container Trades Statistics (CTS) shows that the traditional freight off-season in 2020 will not be "light", and the performance will exceed expectations, and the market demand will continue until the fourth quarter . In October, the trans-Pacific shipping volume dropped by 4% from September to 2 million TEUs, but it was still a quarter higher than the same period in 2019. The demand is so great that although operators have been increasing capacity, there is still a gap.

 

Demand on the Asia-Europe route has also recovered, although its performance is not as strong as the Pacific route. In October, the shipping volume of the Asia-Europe route was 1.4 million TEUs, an increase of 7% over 2019. However, from the perspective of the whole year, the 13.9 million TEUs so far in 2020 is still 7% lower than 2019.

 

Equipment gap is nearly 1 million TEU

The Asia-Europe route is currently facing the same problem as the Pacific route, that is, the shortage of container equipment and capacity keeps the freight rate at a high level. Sea-Intelligence analysts said that the problem of container shortages is very difficult. The imbalance of east-west traffic on the Pacific route has made the shortage of equipment worse . The current North American imports account for most of the global increase in shipping containers, while North American exports have Weakening. Under normal circumstances, the imbalance of east-west shipping volume will usually cause a monthly deficit of about 2.5 million TEUs in Asia. This gap is filled by empty containers from other regions . But in October 2020, this number soared to 3.4 million TEUs, which means that the equipment gap has reached nearly 1 million TEUs.

 

Sea intelligence believes that the lack of empty containers is the primary problem faced by shippers. However, this problem is currently difficult to solve, and there is no way to quickly mobilize 1 million additional empty containers, especially when many ports are currently facing congestion. Analysts predict that this situation will continue until at least early February 2021.

Three boats collided!

In recent times, there have been frequent port ship collisions. Yesterday another "bumper boat" accident occurred in Bejaia Port, Algeria. One container crashed into another unloading container ship when it was parked, and another bulk carrier was collided. The implicated damage is serious.

 

Three boats collided!  The "bump boat" re-launched at the port, and the crane capsized and one person was seriously injured!

It is understood that the vessel involved in the accident was the container ship "VEGA SIGMA" (IMO 9330240) with a carrying capacity of 1118 TEU and flying the Liberian flag. The container ship that was hit was the "Atlantic North" (IMO 9236597) with a carrying capacity of 1119 TEU and flying the Maltese flag. The bulk carrier that was hit was "OWL" (IMO: 9441386), with a deadweight of 57,809 tons and flying the Marshall flag.

According to local media reports, on Saturday night, the container ship "VEGA SIGMA" had an electrical failure while entering the port after completing its entry procedures. The ship lost control and ran into another container ship "Atlantic North" that was unloading at berth 24. "No., the collision produced a loud noise, and some residents in the surrounding communities were awakened. A port mobile crane that was unloading was knocked down. The crane driver was seriously injured and was taken to the hospital. Due to the violent collision, the bulk carrier "OWL" on the other side of the "Atlantic North" transporting sugar for local companies was also implicated. It is understood that no one was injured except the crane driver. The three ships were damaged to varying degrees. The ship damage chart is as follows.

 

Three boats collided!  The "bump boat" re-launched at the port, and the crane capsized and one person was seriously injured!

 

 

Three boats collided!  The "bump boat" re-launched at the port, and the crane capsized and one person was seriously injured!

 

 

Three boats collided!  The "bump boat" re-launched at the port, and the crane capsized and one person was seriously injured!

 

 

Three boats collided!  The "bump boat" re-launched at the port, and the crane capsized and one person was seriously injured!

This is only one week after the last bumper boat incident occurred in the port of Punta da Madeira, Brazil. On November 28, 2020, when the 400,000-ton ore carrier "NSU CARAJAS" entered Pier 4 of the Port of Punta da Madeira for berthing, due to a loss of power, it ran into two berths in succession. An 180,000-ton bulk carrier at the No. 3 pier of the port.

These two large-scale port collision accidents were caused by equipment failure. Before the ship entered the port, the crew should adjust and test various mechanical equipment to make them available at any time to ensure the safety of navigation operations. The two port accidents in a short period of time also reminded all parties concerned that safety in production is the most important as the new year is approaching!

The freight rate in Europe and the land will continue to rise after the soaring

After a further surge last week, the spot freight rate for containers from Asia to Northern Europe is now 130% higher than the beginning of the year, up 200% year-on-year. The Far East-Europe trade route is still under tremendous pressure, and the freight rate will continue to rise further.

In the current peak season, the influx of imported goods from Asia into the United States does not seem to have eased. Los Angeles and Long Beach are still in a state of collapse and paralysis. There are as many as 20 ships lining up near the west coast, waiting for the empty space in LA Long Beach Port to unload.

Australian ports remain congested, with more than 75,000 teu stranded in Sydney.

Freight rates in the Asian intra-route market remained stable, but from the same period last year, freight rates across Southeast Asia have increased by a staggering 390.5%.

 

The freight rate in Europe and the land will continue to rise after the soaring, and the shipping companies will continue to gather wool!  Congestion in West America, 20 ships in Long Beach Port line up for unloading

Europe-to-land route : The North European spot freight rate of the Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) just released by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange increased by 13.5% to US$2,374 per TEU, and the Mediterranean freight rate increased by US$165 to US$2384, spot The freight rate increased by 7.4%. It is worth noting that the year-on-year growth rate in Northern Europe was 196.8%, and the year-on-year growth rate in the Mediterranean was 209.2%. But in fact, the market freight rate is much higher than this.

 

The freight rate in Europe and the land will continue to rise after the soaring, and the shipping companies will continue to gather wool!  Congestion in West America, 20 ships in Long Beach Port line up for unloading

 

 

The freight rate in Europe and the land will continue to rise after the soaring, and the shipping companies will continue to gather wool!  Congestion in West America, 20 ships in Long Beach Port line up for unloading

A Shanghai-based non-vessel carrier said that several shipping companies are currently offering more than US$6,000/40-foot container to Rotterdam and more than US$8,000/40-foot container to the UK.

A freight forwarder in China stated that the carriers on this route are now purely focused on maximizing freight revenue, regardless of all other agreements. He said: "Shipping companies only give priority to higher-priced spaces-whoever pays more will get the space."

 

The freight rate in Europe and the land will continue to rise after the soaring, and the shipping companies will continue to gather wool!  Congestion in West America, 20 ships in Long Beach Port line up for unloading

Christoph Baumeister, senior trade manager for Flexport Asia/ISC-Europe, said the situation for Asian shippers was “worse than week after week”. He added: "The Far East-Northern Europe/Southern Europe trade route is still under tremendous pressure, and freight rates will rise further this week."

Moreover, according to data from the freight benchmark company Xeneta, the current average price of short-term market contracts in Asia and Europe of three months or less is 200% higher than a year ago, at $4,831 per 40 feet.

Although Xeneta’s long-term contract freight data showed an increase of 28% to US$1,648 per 40 feet, it pointed out that despite the peak contract season, few deals have been concluded because shippers and carriers think it’s not the time.

In the trans-Pacific region , the spot freight rate remained basically unchanged last week and stabilized at a record level. According to SCFI data, the spot price on the west coast of the United States rose by US$68 to US$3947 per 40 feet, while the port price on the east coast fell by US$8. To $4,700 per 40 feet. The year-on-year growth rates of the West Coast and East Coast of the United States were 161.6% and 78.2%, respectively.

Since mid-September, due to the intervention of Chinese regulatory agencies, the spot market on this route has remained stable, and shipping companies hope to obtain guaranteed income from their premiums.

As the influx of merchandise imports from Asia into the United States during the peak season did not seem to ease, the Port of Los Angeles data confirmed that the port's imports in the 50th and 51st weeks increased by 37% and 54% year-on-year respectively.

 

The freight rate in Europe and the land will continue to rise after the soaring, and the shipping companies will continue to gather wool!  Congestion in West America, 20 ships in Long Beach Port line up for unloading

The continued growth of imports has put tremendous pressure on the San Pedro Bay ports in Los Angeles and Long Beach. Freightos Chief Marketing Officer Eytan Buchman said: "There are reports that as many as 20 ships are lining up near the west coast, waiting for the unloading of empty spaces in the Port of Long Beach, LA. Retailers are eager to put these goods on the shelves before the holidays."

As for Australia and New Zealand routes , with the gradual improvement of the epidemic situation and the continuous growth of transportation demand during the traditional peak season, the market freight rate has increased. According to the SCFI index, the freight rate (sea freight and ocean freight surcharge) for exports from Shanghai to the basic port of Australia and New Zealand was US$2490/TEU, up 2.5% from the previous period. But the Australian shipping business is currently in a "state that has never been so bad."

The continued "chaos" in the Australian container supply chain will mean that some retailers' shelves will be empty during Christmas.

The impact of supply chain delays caused by the Maritime Union of Australia (MUA) strike in early October continues. The shipping company stated that the disruption of shipping schedules caused a backlog of "8 to 10 weeks" delays (8 weeks of delay means that retailers will not have inventory "until January of next year"), but the union denies that this is the reason. Rather, it points to the increase in demand during the peak season.

According to the Freight and Trade Alliance (F&TA), trade imbalances, resulting in a large surplus of empty containers and lack of storage areas for storing these containers, are still the main problems hindering the supply chain. F&TA Director Paul Zalai said: “Currently, it is estimated that the imbalance of containers is 75,000 teu, which is stranded in Sydney’s empty container yard and operator’s warehouse. The surplus of empty containers will cause Sydney’s logistics to fall from the current congestion state to an unsolvable situation. deadlock."

 

The freight rate in Europe and the land will continue to rise after the soaring, and the shipping companies will continue to gather wool!  Congestion in West America, 20 ships in Long Beach Port line up for unloading

The peak season demand has increased the spot freight rate from China to Melbourne to US$2490, compared with US$1648 in mid-October. Paul Zalai believes that the country’s shipping industry has “never seen such a bad situation.” He explained: “Our ports are congested, services are limited, freight prices are at record highs, detention, congestion and terminal access surcharges continue to increase. "At the same time, similar shipping delays have also affected importers in the Tasman region. Due to the chain reaction caused by port congestion in Australia, the Port of Auckland in New Zealand experienced delays this year.

The market freight rates of intra-Asia routes also remained stable last week, but from the same period last year, freight rates across Southeast Asia have increased by an astonishing 390.5%. 

Although these are eye-catching figures, it is important not to forget that 65% to 75% of all goods are transported on the basis of contract freight rates rather than spot market freight rates. However, due to the exhaustion of the number of contracts (many contracts are in unexpected periods when consumer demand is out of control) the rest tends to the spot freight market. When contract negotiations restart next year, the strong bull market will also benefit shipping companies.

Andy Lane of CTI Consulting in Singapore commented: “There is still one month before the new Asian-European contract. This is under the background of record-breaking spot freight rates. Prices may rise sharply, which will have a real impact on the market."