/ By tjchinafreight ivy / Shipping

Container Rental Guide

Why rent a container?

Are you looking for a specific period container? Do you have items or items that you want to store in containers to protect them from damage? Do you want the flexibility to rent containers at different points in time? If the answer is yes, then renting a container is ideal for you. Container leasing gives you flexibility in how you use your containers and how you plan your budget. Buying one, on the other hand, increases your liability and costs.

Here are the different types of container rentals that we will be covering in this blog:

1.Master lease
They are also commonly referred to as short to medium term leases. They fall into the full-service rental category with no cap on the minimum or maximum number of containers. The lease term is variable and the lessor is responsible for the maintenance, repair and relocation of the container. The agreement also involves an accounting system that includes debits and credits between the parties based on the condition of the containers at the time of their return. The lessor must undertake the allocation of the containers to meet the needs of the lessee. Therefore, it is important to ensure a stable supply of empty containers at the pick-up point. The master lease agreement sets out the main conditions such as the rental cost per day, the types of containers that can be disposed of, the number of containers to be used in each warehouse, the collection and delivery centers, payment terms, etc. The lessee has no obligation to use the container before picking up the container from the yard, and the contract takes effect when the lessee picks up the container from the yard. A separate individual contract is signed for each container collected under the Master Lease Agreement.

2.Long-term lease
Far less flexible than a master lease, long-term leases are a favorite of many rental companies. The duration of the contract is fixed. As well as a certain number of containers and delivery schedule. This leaves the leasing company with nothing to do once the container is signed for.

The lessee bears the cost of repairs, maintenance and relocation. Although definitions of terms vary, most leasing companies define long-term leases as 5 to 8 years. For long-term leases, the containers are usually brand new. This is why many long-term rental agreements come with negotiable terms. The clause allows rental rates to be negotiated after a few years based on depreciation and market fluctuations.

3.One way rental
They are also known as one-way rental agreements, and containers can be picked up at one location and dropped off at another. Both parties benefit from such one-way leasing arrangements due to operational rationalization and cost reduction. It is suitable for different regional requirements of customers and has the added benefit of saving on relocation costs.

4.Short-term rental
Also known as spot market leases, they are subject to market conditions dictated by supply and demand dynamics. Such leasing arrangements typically occur during temporary demand surges, which may be cyclical or sudden. Because of this market volatility, leasing companies prefer not to keep large inventories of such containers to meet short-term rental demand, to avoid the possibility of them being underutilized for an extended period of time. But careful planning and forecasting can handle unforeseen surges in demand. Maintenance, repair and relocation tasks are undertaken by the lessee. Aside from the higher cost, the one setback here is that you have to adhere to the minimum time to use the container. Usually leasing companies do not want to rent out containers for less than 6 months.

Transaction speed is another important issue for businesses to consider. Rental companies are also on the platform. Given the unbalanced nature of the world economy and trade, the number of containers is unbalanced.

/ By tjchinafreight ivy / Shipping

China-Thailand Customs Sign AEO Mutual Recognition Action Plan

On March 25, the "Action Plan of the General Administration of Customs of the People's Republic of China and the Thai Customs Administration on the Mutual Recognition Arrangement of "Accredited Operators" was signed online. The first AEO Mutual Recognition Arrangement Action Plan signed by member countries' customs.

Sun Yuning, deputy director of the General Administration of Customs of China, and Jizhana Xinushan, deputy director of the Thai Customs Department, signed on behalf of both parties. Sun Yuning said that the signing of the AEO Mutual Recognition Action Plan between the customs of China and Thailand is another pragmatic achievement of the customs cooperation between the two countries, marking the beginning of a new chapter in the AEO cooperation between the two sides.

China and Thailand have had close economic and trade cooperation for a long time. China has been Thailand's largest trading partner for many years, and Thailand's largest export market for agricultural products; Thailand is China's third largest trading partner among ASEAN countries. In 2021, the total bilateral trade volume between China and Thailand exceeded the US$100 billion mark for the first time, reaching US$131.18 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33%. During the same period, there were 83,000 Chinese enterprises engaged in bilateral trade between China and Thailand, of which there were more than 2,300 high-level certified Chinese enterprises engaged in import and export business with Thailand, with an import and export volume of about 143 billion yuan, accounting for about 143 billion yuan in imports and exports from China to Thailand. The total is nearly two percent.

According to the "Action Plan", China-Thailand Customs will speed up the negotiation on various issues of the AE0 mutual recognition arrangement, strive to realize China-Thailand AE0 mutual recognition as soon as possible, and effectively make the China-Thailand AEO mutual recognition cooperation a model of customs cooperation among RCEP member states.

China and Thailand have had close economic and trade cooperation for a long time. China has been Thailand's largest trading partner for many years, and Thailand's largest export market for agricultural products; Thailand is China's third largest trading partner among ASEAN countries. In 2021, the total bilateral trade volume between China and Thailand exceeded the US$100 billion mark for the first time, reaching US$131.18 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33%. During the same period, there were 83,000 Chinese enterprises engaged in bilateral trade between China and Thailand, of which there were more than 2,300 high-level certified Chinese enterprises engaged in import and export business with Thailand, with an import and export volume of about 143 billion yuan, accounting for about 143 billion yuan in imports and exports from China to Thailand. The total is nearly two percent.

According to the "Action Plan", China-Thailand Customs will speed up the negotiation on various issues of the AE0 mutual recognition arrangement, strive to realize China-Thailand AE0 mutual recognition as soon as possible, and effectively make the China-Thailand AEO mutual recognition cooperation a model of customs cooperation among RCEP member states.

AEO is the abbreviation of Authorized Economic Operator, that is, "authenticated operator". It is advocated by the World Customs Organization. The customs will certify enterprises with high credit status, law-abiding and level, and provide preferential customs clearance facilities to certified enterprises. of a system.

Since the implementation of the AEO system in 2008, China Customs has been vigorously promoting the international mutual recognition of AEO, focusing on improving the level of domestic and overseas customs clearance facilitation of Chinese enterprises, reducing the customs clearance cost of enterprises, and enhancing the competitiveness of enterprises in the international market. Up to now, China Customs has signed AEO mutual recognition agreements with 22 economies such as the European Union and Singapore, covering 48 countries (regions), and the number of countries (regions) in mutual recognition ranks first in the world. Among them, there are 32 countries jointly building the "Belt and Road", 5 RCEP member countries and 13 Central and Eastern European countries.

/ By tjchinafreight ivy / Shipping

Biden administration re-exempts 352 tariffs on Chinese goods

The U.S. government announced it would restore tariff exemptions for 352 Chinese products that were first hit with punitive tariffs in 2018 when then-President Donald Trump launched a trade war with Beijing.

"Today's decision was made after careful consideration of public comments and consultation with other U.S. agencies," the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) said in a statement Wednesday.
In a statement, the Office of the US Trade Representative said the exceptions were retroactive to October 12 last year and extended through the end of 2022.

The exemption expires at the end of 2020, but President Joe Biden's administration began seeking comments last October on which of the 549 eligible Chinese products should again be excluded from the tariffs.

The list released by the USTR includes industrial parts such as pumps and electric motors, certain auto parts and chemicals, backpacks, bicycles, vacuum cleaners and other consumer products. Those goods account for about two-thirds of the tariff-exempt goods that expire at the end of 2020. Goods exempted from duties include certain types of consumer goods such as electronic components, bicycle parts, motors, machinery, chemicals, seafood and backpacks.

A spokesman for China's Commerce Ministry said on Thursday that the U.S. decision is conducive to the normalization of trade in these products and hopes that bilateral trade relations can return to a normal track.

"Amid soaring inflation and challenges to the global economic recovery, we hope that the U.S. will remove all tariffs on Chinese products as soon as possible to safeguard the fundamental interests of Chinese and U.S. consumers and producers," spokesman Shu Jueting told reporters. .

The Trump administration initially approved more than 2,200 tariff exemptions to ease the burden on certain industries and retailers. Most were allowed to expire, but 549 were extended for a year and these expire at the end of 2020.

In October, U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai began reviewing whether to reinstate the 549 waivers as part of her strategy to confront China over trade practices.
Since then, a series of virtual meetings with her Chinese counterparts have done little to improve China's performance under Trump's "phase one" trade deal with Beijing.

/ By tjchinafreight ivy / Shipping

Do you know all these surcharges for shipping?

Due to various reasons of the ship, cargo, port and other aspects, the ship party increases expenses or suffers economic losses when transporting goods. In order to compensate for these expenses or losses, the ship party stipulates additional charges in addition to the basic rate. Call Surcharge or Additional.
There are many types of surcharges, and as some circumstances change, new surcharges may be removed or established. This article is to sort out the more commonly used shipping surcharges at present, hoping to help you better understand the shipping surcharges (so as not to be pitted).

emergency fuel surcharge
The last bunker-related line in this list of ocean surcharges is the emergency bunker surcharge. This fee is imposed by the carrier when fuel prices rise sharply. Because it makes it more expensive to run ships and move containers around the world.
This is another surcharge that you can't stop.

Comprehensive rate increase surcharge GRI
The full name of GRI is General Rate Increase. It is generally used on South American routes and American routes. Due to various reasons such as ports, ships, fuel oil, cargo or other aspects, the shipping company's transportation costs have increased significantly. In order to compensate for these increased expenses, the shipowners add a comprehensive rate increase surcharge.

Peak Season Surcharge PSS
The full name of PSS is Peak Season Surcharge. This fee is generally charged by many shipping companies for excuses when the freight is busy in the peak season, which is somewhat similar to the price increase in my country's "Spring Festival". April to November each year is generally the peak season for world freight.

Terminal handling fee THC
The full name of THC is Terminal Handling Charge. It can be further divided into OTHC-Origin Terminal Handling Charge, which is the terminal operation fee at the port of departure and DTHC-Destination Terminal Handling Charge, which is the terminal operation fee at the destination port.

Out of spec
If the cargo is oversized, it means that the cargo cannot fit into the hexagonal container due to its size. In this case, you'll have to pay an oversize fee because the cargo will take up more space, require extra material to secure, and mean less space to stack the containers.

Origin Receipt Charge ORC
The full name is Original Receiving Charge local receiving fee/origin receiving fee/origin receiving fee. This fee is more complicated, and it is both different and related to the terminal operating fee THC. ORC is only available in southern China, mainly in Guangdong ports, while THC is available in all ports (including those in Guangdong). There is only one charge for ORC and THC - if you charge ORC, you don't charge for THC. If you receive THC, you will not receive ORC again.
ORC is specially designed for shipping from various ports in southern China, and the destination ports are these ocean routes such as North America, Central and South America, Europe and North Africa. Ports in southern China to other destination ports, such as Southeast Asia, are the same as ports in other regions, and only collect THC.

Overload surcharge
There is no way to bypass the heavy load surcharge if you are shipping unusually heavy shipments. This is a charge because heavy cargo is more difficult to load and unload than light cargo. However, these types of cargo also require specialized equipment such as cranes. A surcharge helps make up for this.

Port Congestion Surcharge PCS
The full name is Port Congestion Surcharge. When the port is crowded or particularly busy, the waiting time and schedule of the ship will be extended, and the port berthing fees such as tugboat fees may also increase, which will cause a substantial increase in transportation costs. In order to make up for this cost loss, the shipping company will charge the shipper. Port congestion surcharge.

Container Imbalance Surcharge CIC
The full name of CIC is Container Imbalance Charge, sometimes called Container Imbalance Surcharge. This fee is a surcharge imposed by the shipping company in order to make up for the cost of shipping empty containers due to the imbalance of trade volume or seasonal changes resulting in the imbalance of cargo flow and containers.

/ By tjchinafreight ivy / Shipping

The country’s truckers have been on strike for two weeks, severely disrupted supply chains, and hit production and manufacturing.

Spanish drivers have been on strike for up to two weeks over rising fuel costs, severely disrupting the country’s supply chain and hitting production and manufacturing in Spain.

 

After more than 12 hours of negotiations on Thursday, March 24, the Spanish government has reached a tentative agreement with a major transport union to provide fuel subsidies for striking truck drivers.
However, as is common in Spanish trade union politics, there were several smaller and different union organisations organising the transport lockout, which rejected the proposal and continued the strike into its third week.

To this end, the Spanish government this week announced a financial package of 500 million euros in direct assistance to the road transport sector, which focuses on reducing taxes on "specialty diesel". The package will be approved by the Spanish Council of Ministers on March 29.

However, the financial package announced by the Spanish government failed to end the drivers' strike.

Three Spanish unions, which mainly represent small businesses, have joined the Platform for Defending the Trucking Industry, an informal association of truck drivers and owner-operators who were the main drivers of the two-week strike.

As the strike action nears its third week, a ripple effect is being felt on roads, supermarkets and restaurants across Spain. Madrid, Valencia region, Basque Country, Andalusia, Navarra, Galicia, Murcia and other parts of Spain have been reported as truckers block major roads, ports, industrial areas and intersections Traffic jams for several kilometers.

Supermarket shelves are empty, with shortages of fruit and vegetables, milk, cheese and other dairy products, especially meat and fish. The dairy industry has been severely affected, with thousands of litres of milk spoiling in factories without trucks moving across the country.

Bars and restaurants across Spain are also feeling the effects of the strike action. Many were forced to change or adjust their menus and even raise prices to make up for some of the losses.

As of Friday morning, the situation remained fluid and it was unclear whether the government would actually negotiate with the striking truck drivers, with demonstrators in Madrid calling for the resignation of Transport Minister Raquel Sanchez as a condition of ending the strike.

This week, food processing multinational Danone warned of "imminent supply disruptions" due to a strike by truckers, and that if a solution cannot be found quickly, it will have to make major decisions and temporarily suspend four of its subsidiaries Activities of a Spanish dairy and three mineral water plants.

Yesterday, it was reported that the company had halted production at one of its breweries, and Dutch brewer Heineken also warned that it may have to cut production due to a lack of some supplies.

The country's truckers have been on strike for two weeks, severely disrupted supply chains, and hit production and manufacturing.

German supermarket chain Lidl has closed two stores in Asturias due to supply difficulties, and other retailers including Aldi have also reported shortages of certain products, such as milk, flour and oil.

The prolonged strike has raised fears that supermarket shelves will be empty and threatens road exports of Spain's fruit and vegetables during a crucial time of the year for the market.

The strike also affected the auto industry, with assembly lines disrupted by strikes by truckers and roadblocks, local media reported. Production at Volkswagen's Pamplona plant has been hampered by a supply shortage and Ford has proposed temporary layoffs for the second quarter as it struggles to secure deliveries of critical components and microchips. Opel and Mercedes were also forced to scale back their operations.

The Spanish government is believed to have mobilized 24,000 police officers to help escort truck drivers who were not involved in the strike.

/ By tjchinafreight ivy / Shipping

VLCC again records its worst deal ever

Freight rates for very large crude oil tankers (VLCCs) on major routes have been unusually weak, again recording their worst trading ever, with owners willing to accept only four-digit daily rates.

Under such circumstances, according to data from the Baltic Exchange (Baltic Exchange), the VLCC equivalent time charter equivalent rates (TCE) assessed by the agency continued to fall by $800 this Friday to -28354 USD/day! Obviously, this figure is lower than the record low of 27,893/day set on March 10.

Shipping brokerage firm Howe Robinson said in this week's market report that the Middle East VLCC route has directly "kneeled", and we have seen a large number of charters hitting new lows.

In addition, the fall in rent levels contrasted sharply with the rise in fuel prices. The rise in fuel oil prices has kept shipowners' earnings in a negative range.

According to Tankers International data, 7 VLCCs were booked on Thursday, and one of the 299,999dwt Ascona was the highest lease level, but the TCE was only US$8,342 per day. The charterer was Unipec UNIPEC, from West Africa to China. , the expected loading date is mid-April.

The lowest was - $5738/day for the 320,475 dwt Maran Canopus (built 2007) owned by Maran Tankers, scheduled to be loaded for Vietnam's NSRP in the Middle East Gulf in early April. The round is about to be docked for the third time this year and should be repaired.

However, figures from Tankers International show that all of those leases are ultimately expected to face losses.

Ascona was the only one successfully leased on the same day for the West Africa route. The other two 303,120-dwt Front Empire and 318,440-dwt Astro Chloe were not concluded.

"A charter that doesn't close will also end up causing more trouble for owners," Howe Robinson said. "However, as more and more owners refuse to execute long voyages at such low prices, we are seeing Owners are trying to get higher prices.”

Overall, the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index, the BDTI index rose 19 points to 1112 at the end of the week. The rise was mainly due to the TCE of Aframax vessels rising by $1,934 to $28,672/day, although suezmax vessels also fell by $1,530/day to $34,401/day.

The rise of aframax was mainly due to the increase of $16,710 on the TD17 Baltic-UK/Continental route, which closed at $133,657/day this week. This route, as well as the TD6 Black Sea to Mediterranean suezmax route, continues to rise, mainly because both routes involve Russian deals.

/ By tjchinafreight ivy / Shipping

Japan sanctioned Russia: 19 shipping companies were blacklisted!

As the Russian-Ukrainian conflict continued, many countries imposed international sanctions on Russia and Crimea during the Russian-Ukrainian war. The Japanese government also decided to expand sanctions against Russia and included a number of Russian shipping companies on the list of prohibited exports. The purpose is to harmonize with Europe and the United States, and strike at Russia's shipbuilding and military fields.

According to the announcement of the Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the sanctioned Russian shipping companies include:

Amur Shipbuilding,
AO Center of Shipbuilding and Ship Repairing,
Dalzavod Ship-Repair Center,
JSC Shipyard Vympel,
Nerpa Shipyard,
Novorossiysk Shipyard,
Rybinsk Shipyard Engineering,
Severnaya Verf Shipbuilding Factory,
Ship Maintenance Center Zvezdochka;
And the 35th shipyard belonging to the Russian United Shipbuilding Group (USC),
Astrakhan Shipyard,
Aysberg Central Design Building,
Baltic Shipbuilding Factory,
Krasnoye Sormovo Plant OJSC,
Zvyozdochka,
Pribaltic Shipbuilding Factory,
Onega Scientific Research Design and Technology Bureau and Sredne-Nevsky Shipyard;
In addition there is the Yaroslavl Shipbuilding Factory.

On March 25, the Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that, as additional sanctions against Russia, it would freeze the personal assets of 25 Russians and ban exports to 81 entities. If the previously announced 49 entities are added, the total export ban will increase to 130 entities. The new sanctions also include a ban on the export of luxury goods to Russia.

/ By TJ China Freight / Shipping

The freight rates dropped by more than 13%!

Although the new round of new crown pneumonia in Europe represented by the British mutant virus has generally eased, and the congestion of British ports is also showing signs of easing, it will take some time for the European transportation system to fully recover.

At the same time, the goods hoarded before the Chinese New Year have basically been shipped out, and the demand for transportation after the holiday is still recovering. The overall market volume is insufficient, and some voyages have surplus space. Liner companies cut prices to buy goods.

Under the combined influence of the above-mentioned market factors, the freight rates of Asia-Europe routes after the Spring Festival have been declining.

 

The freight rate dropped by more than 13%! Asia-Europe route after the holiday market declines for three consecutive weeks

 

 

According to the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) released by the Shanghai Aviation Exchange, on March 12, the freight rate (sea and ocean surcharges) for exports from Shanghai to the European basic port market was 3,712 US dollars/TEU, which was higher than that on March 5. Compared with 3966 USD/TEU, it is down 6.4%. Compared with the USD 4,047/TEU on February 26, it was down by 8.3%. Compared with the 4281 USD/TEU on February 19, the drop reached 13.3%.

This is also the rate of the Asia-Europe route, which has declined for three consecutive weeks.

The situation of the Mediterranean route is slightly better than that of the European route. On March 12, the freight rate (sea freight and ocean freight surcharges) for exports from Shanghai to the Mediterranean basic port market was 4,020 USD/TEU, a decrease of 5.4% compared with 4,252 USD/TEU on February 19.

The Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) released by the Ningbo Shipping Exchange also showed a similar trend.

From March 5th to 12th, the NCFI European route freight index was 2871.1 points, a decrease of 6.2% from the previous week. Compared with the 3192.2 points on February 20-26, a drop of 10%; compared with the 3323.4 points on February 13-19, a drop of 13.6%.

 

The freight rate dropped by more than 13%! Asia-Europe route after the holiday market declines for three consecutive weeks
The trend of NCFI European route freight index

In the same period, the freight index of the NCFI East-West route was 2354.2 points, and the freight index of the NCFI West-South route was 3007.1 points, a decrease of 7.4% and 9.2% respectively from February 13-19.

Entering 2021, the freight rate of Asia-Europe route has experienced an astonishing price increase of 25.8% overnight, and then gradually dropped.

Previously, industry consulting agency Sea-Intelligence had predicted that in 2021, the uncertainty caused by the epidemic would still be very large, and the historically high freight rates would fall.

Lin Shulai, an analyst at Yihailan, analyzed that the market freight rate after the Spring Festival depends on two factors, the operating strategy of the shipping company and the development of the epidemic. It is expected that after the first quarter of 2021, the market is expected to return to normal.

/ By TJ China Freight / Shipping

freight volume will continue to remain high

Due to the prevalence of port congestion and box shortages in Europe and the United States, freight volumes on the European and American routes will remain high.

Industry insiders predict that shipments from Asia to Europe will continue into the third quarter, and delays in US and European ports will continue to be the main bottleneck in the supply chain.

The National Retail Federation (hereinafter referred to as NRF, The National Retail Federation) predicts that this year's retail spending and consumer demand may further soar, the increase may be as high as 8.2%. According to NRF data, due to the substantial increase in demand, container throughput will increase by 23% in the first half of the year.

Consultant Jon Monroe pointed out, “Given that many importers are struggling with low inventories, replenishing inventory in order to meet their volume may be the key driving force for this year’s growth. Therefore, the question that everyone needs to face is how to deal with another possible occurrence. A turbulent year?"

 

NRF predicts that freight volume will continue to remain high; Clarkson: trade volume will exceed 2019

 

 

Monroe said that most cargo owners (BCO) now intend to end contract negotiations and try to plan for expected market fluctuations, which may mean that contract requirements have not been met, soaring freight rates and shipping schedule reliability have been put on hold again.

Monroe made some suggestions for companies facing supply chain disruptions this year, including finding alternative delivery ports for imported goods other than Los Angeles and Long Beach, while optimizing warehouse efficiency while free time is reduced.

According to the table below, it is currently estimated that the "new normal" delivery time for goods arriving on the West Coast of the United States is currently expected plus 4 to 5 weeks.

 

NRF predicts that freight volume will continue to remain high; Clarkson: trade volume will exceed 2019
The estimated delivery time (cargo is delivered via DC) is an additional 4 weeks for LA-LB port (an additional week this year)

The current situation of European cargo owners is similar to that of the United States. Port congestion is still the main problem, and the shortage of containers has exacerbated these difficulties. Especially in the United Kingdom, due to the problem of the space for storing empty containers, there has been a significant increase in delays in container delivery. Brexit has also had a certain impact.

According to data from Container xChange, “the trade interruption and continued congestion after Brexit are causing serious container accumulation in British ports.” said Dr. Johannes Schlingmeier, CEO of xChange, when the CAx index exceeds 0.5, it indicates that more containers are imported than exported. The index "increased significantly last year, with 40-foot containers rising from 0.71 to 0.86, and 20-foot containers rising from an average of 0.72 to 0.85."

 

NRF predicts that freight volume will continue to remain high; Clarkson: trade volume will exceed 2019

 

 

Schlingmeier said, “The British ports are full of empty containers. If this problem becomes too serious, you may see additional charges for new (arriving) containers next.”

Container xChange stated that the link between Brexit and CAx is that as the United Kingdom leaves the European Union, British ports (mainly the Port of Felixstowe, but also the ports of Liverpool and Southampton) are facing severe congestion. British companies have become a problem, and some shipping companies have increased surcharges.

"To make matters worse, some shipping companies are currently unloading at EU ports such as Hamburg, Rotterdam and Antwerp to avoid congestion at British ports. As a result, the CAx values ​​of these ports have increased in the past few weeks," Schlingmeier explained. And added a reminder that CAx will further monitor the number of containers entering and leaving the port. Four or five months ago, shipping companies waited for return goods at European ports for two months, and now they are "carrying back to Asia with empty containers full."

Clarkson predicts that the volume of seaborne trade this year will exceed the level of 2019

Clarkson Research Services acknowledged that major uncertainties still exist, but it is expected that the global seaborne trade for the whole year of 2021 is not only expected to return to the level of 2019, but also expected to be this level.

Clarkson predicts that this year's seaborne trade volume will increase by 4.2% to 12 billion tons, which is 0.5% higher than the level in 2019. Clarkson estimated in a recent weekly report that in 2020, global seaborne trade will fall -3.6% for the whole year to 11.5 billion tons. In the first few weeks of 2021, most non-tank shipping industries will show high utilization rates and high rates.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that the global economy will grow by 5.5% this year. Following a 3.5% drop last year, the economy in 2021 will grow by 1.8% over 2019. Looking at emerging economies and developed economies separately, only emerging economies will return to the level of 2019 this year. The IMF expects that emerging economies will grow by 6.3% and will fall by 2.4% in 2020. On the other hand, advanced economies are expected to grow by 4.3%, which is lower than the 4.9% decline in 2020.

A report from the Baltic International Chamber of Shipping (BIMCO) at the end of last month pointed out that the recovery in 2021 will not bring good news to everyone. The exact speed of the recovery will depend on the development of the epidemic and changes in travel restrictions and other containment measures.

/ By TJ China Freight / Shipping

Will the freight rate go up?

The prosperous situation of the container shipping market will continue for a longer period of time. The profit of the shipping company in the first quarter of this year is expected to increase to several times that of the fourth quarter of last year, and the profit in the second quarter will be equal to or higher than that of the first quarter.

 

After the Spring Festival, the congestion problem of European and American ports has not been relieved as expected. Instead, it has spread everywhere. Major international ports such as Los Angeles, Oakland, Rotterdam, Hamburg, Felice Du, Liverpool, and Le Havre continued to be congested. Singapore is not immune. Although the current shortage of containers has improved, it is estimated that as the volume begins to increase at the end of March, it will return to the original situation in April.

 

Jeremy Nixon, CEO of ONE, pointed out that Asian terminals currently operate 24 hours a day, while berths on the west coast of the United States work 112 hours a week, container terminals work 88-90 hours a week, and land operations are limited to daytime. Therefore, the current situation of the trans-Pacific route is unlikely to improve in the short term.

 

On the whole, the off-season of the shipping market after the Spring Festival this year is not weak. The number of days for seasonal correction of freight rates before and after New Year's Eve is between 50 and 64 days. The rate of freight rate decline is between 17% and 27%. After the festival, only 3.8% is revised, which is still obvious. Less than historical convention.

 

Looking forward to the market outlook, analysis institutions are optimistic about the market performance this year. Drewry predicts that the global container shipping demand growth rate will reach 10.9% in 2021, which is much higher than the 4.5% growth rate of supply.

 

The Danish shipping consulting agency Sea-Intelligence also estimates that the surge in freight rates may continue until the spring of 2022, and the freight rates for the US line may increase by another 25%.

 

Sea-Intelligence's research report pointed out that the current US retail industry inventory is still at a historical low, and the relative inventory level has been the lowest in 28 years. This is undoubtedly good news for the shipping company. As long as the sales situation is normal, the US retail industry needs to be in Continue to replenish inventory in the next few months.

 

Executives of CH Robinson, the world's leading third-party logistics service provider, pointed out that global road, sea and air cargo congestion is likely to continue into next year and continue to increase transportation costs.

 

Although there is still room for increase in freight rates, the various operating costs of container shipping companies are also increasing significantly. Port congestion has reduced ship turnover by 20% to 30%, and container ship rents have soared, which has doubled in the past year. In addition, the price of marine fuel oil has increased by 60% since November last year, and the difficulty in crew dispatch caused by the epidemic has also increased labor costs by about 20%.

 

Consolidation company believes that starting from May this year, the long-term freight rate of the western US route has started from US$3,000, which is several times higher than that of last year’s US$1,400. Therefore, as long as the freight rates of the European and Southeast Asian routes are stable, the company’s profit in the second quarter may be The first quarter is equivalent. If it is a consolidator that starts to substantially increase US flights in mid-March, there is still a chance that the second quarter will make more profits than the first quarter.